Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nova Esports vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11992f463a144afba9847ad20f071d30abd59e57ce549ca2d6ce3b77ffdae5f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nova Esportsof Nova Esports, TYLOO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked Nova Esports | 75c | 4,733$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.75 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TYLOO | 24c | 1,112$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.79 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…24dfbacked TYLOO | 39c | 810.06$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.28 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed TYLOO | 55c | 350$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed TYLOO | 45c | 293.53$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.53 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed TYLOO | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Nova Esports | 54c | 215.37$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked TYLOO | 27c | 211.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked TYLOO | 31c | 210.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TYLOO | 29c | 201.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed TYLOO | 33c | 197.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed TYLOO | 37c | 192.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed TYLOO | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…a8f4backed TYLOO | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TYLOO | 21c | 132$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed TYLOO | 41c | 124.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Nova Esports | 57c | 123.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nova Esports | 52c | 110.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked TYLOO | 61c | 98.89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TYLOO | 33c | 96.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TYLOO | 43c | 94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed TYLOO | 23c | 93.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nova Esports | 60c | 83.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed TYLOO | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…fdbbbacked TYLOO | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nova Esports | 75c | 66.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed TYLOO | 27c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Nova Esports | 64c | 57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed TYLOO | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed TYLOO | 34c | 52.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed TYLOO | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed TYLOO | 36c | 40.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked TYLOO | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked TYLOO | 54c | 36.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked TYLOO | 38c | 35.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked TYLOO | 60c | 33.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52b…baf2backed TYLOO | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22bc…b0b2backed TYLOO | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 PlayoffsNova Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs TYLOO - Map 2 WinnerNova Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.