Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nova Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12132cd8c888bbeb56e839c139c5b925eaa8df0de0f68e7c5d68f274861f3306
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nova Esportsof Nova Esports, TYLOO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Nova Esports | 26c | 4,515$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,327.22 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…cab3backed TYLOO | 74c | 4,017$2,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.07 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed TYLOO | 21c | 944.57$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.07 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Nova Esports | 31c | 843.41$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.41 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed TYLOO | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked TYLOO | 66c | 364.22$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.67 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Nova Esports | 40c | 250.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.32 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed TYLOO | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked TYLOO | 32c | 219.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nova Esports | 71c | 208.27$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…8ce3backed TYLOO | 74c | 203.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed TYLOO | 73c | 201.78$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.1 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed TYLOO | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9816…8ff4backed TYLOO | 72c | 190.14$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.41 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nova Esports | 55c | 174.61$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nova Esports | 35c | 171.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.55 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TYLOO | 25c | 166.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked TYLOO | 71c | 141.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed TYLOO | 69c | 130.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea0…9838backed TYLOO | 69c | 122.58$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7a…a656backed Nova Esports | 46c | 115.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…4043backed TYLOO | 45c | 106$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TYLOO | 44c | 104.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed TYLOO | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04c…c4b7backed Nova Esports | 48c | 92.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked TYLOO | 30c | 89.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked TYLOO | 69c | 84.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fa…fd90backed TYLOO | 72c | 83.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed TYLOO | 17c | 79.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…74d3backed Nova Esports | 45c | 75.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Nova Esports | 29c | 74.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked TYLOO | 52c | 59.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nova Esports | 30c | 56.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked TYLOO | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 75.2%82 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5900…45ebbacked Nova Esports | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked TYLOO | 28c | 50.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nova Esports | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Nova Esports | 29c | 45.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked TYLOO | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TYLOO | 36c | 42.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Nova Esports | 30c | 33.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed TYLOO | 71c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdb…b241backed Nova Esports | 31c | 32.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ec…4f0abacked TYLOO | 73c | 30.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x621a…3e19backed TYLOO | 70c | 28.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…db0cbacked TYLOO | 59c | 25.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed TYLOO | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TYLOO | 64c | 20.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Nova Esports | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked TYLOO | 68c | 19.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x364e…1996backed TYLOO | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked TYLOO | 57c | 17.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…f39cbacked TYLOO | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs TYLOO - Map 1 WinnerNova Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs TYLOO - Map 2 WinnerNova Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.