TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x364e…1996

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
224
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 51 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT9560%57 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$25.73
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.87
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.77
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.46
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.2
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.52
Will Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$12.97
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.37
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+99.4%+$19.06
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.68
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+126.4%+$26.55
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$35.76
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.77
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.12
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.33
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.98
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+141.7%+$48.94
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT5754.4%31 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$172.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$21.34
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.82
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.63
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.52
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.76
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$3.55
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.94
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$20.36
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.07
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.57
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.46
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.2
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$27.97
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Alter Ego (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.93
Counter-Strike: Morningstar vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$24.98
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$7.75
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT3959%23 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.08
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.74
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$344.12
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$650.02
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$138.78
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$361.83
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$150.13
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,989Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$747.3
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25.2%+$101.02
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+85.2%+$22.15
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+37%+$145.86
Hawks vs. Pelicansbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$168.67
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$47
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$28.64
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$26.41
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+28.4%+$125.58
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+39.3%+$125.4
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$10.63
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$23.91
Valorant: Nova Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.22
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.67
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$160.59
Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.97
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.03
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.67
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.53
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$28.28
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.01
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Any Questions Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$43.98
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$297.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.