CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Alter Ego (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce8c36233d48529c9a895dba4c4ff759c09fcce89c6cd488f9198678af5d7f47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynn Visionof Lynn Vision, Alter Ego
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,459 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61ce…ed13backed Alter Ego | 76c | 5,674$4,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Lynn Vision | 33c | 3,897$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Alter Ego | 10c | 3,163$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Lynn Vision | 23c | 3,102$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.04 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Lynn Vision | 35c | 1,717$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.89 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Alter Ego | 24c | 1,620$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.04 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Lynn Vision | 35c | 1,221$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.1 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…5b36backed Lynn Vision | 40c | 900$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Alter Ego | 52c | 870.67$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.15 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Lynn Vision | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed Lynn Vision | 28c | 699.78$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.84 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…a779backed Lynn Vision | 54c | 608.6$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.85 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Lynn Vision | 57c | 593.8$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.8 | 384 | 56.3%216 W · 168 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alter Ego | 43c | 538.19$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.11 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Alter Ego | 46c | 520.48$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Alter Ego | 40c | 503$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.11 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Alter Ego | 65c | 484.76$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bd…1f9cbacked Lynn Vision | 43c | 446.14$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Alter Ego | 73c | 442.45$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.11 | 87 | 70.1%61 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…2fd4backed Lynn Vision | 79c | 418.13$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.81 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…6cdbbacked Alter Ego | 48c | 314.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…944ebacked Lynn Vision | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Lynn Vision | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Lynn Vision | 54c | 252.43$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alter Ego | 49c | 226.12$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…359bbacked Lynn Vision | 26c | 215.46$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.74 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Lynn Vision | 61c | 204.01$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.74 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Alter Ego | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 225 | 51.1%115 W · 110 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed Lynn Vision | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a91…4e55backed Lynn Vision | 67c | 185.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Alter Ego | 40c | 165.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…ffddbacked Lynn Vision | 41c | 159.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Lynn Vision | 34c | 148$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eff…69d2backed Alter Ego | 19c | 146$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Alter Ego | 34c | 142.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…cb13backed Alter Ego | 63c | 140.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364e…1996backed Lynn Vision | 79c | 128.23$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…1745backed Alter Ego | 75c | 127.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…acb1backed Alter Ego | 40c | 122.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Alter Ego | 34c | 111.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Lynn Vision | 13c | 108.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a7…aba0backed Alter Ego | 19c | 108$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…930cbacked Alter Ego | 19c | 108$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8895…29a5backed Alter Ego | 19c | 107$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Alter Ego | 50c | 105.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4f…03acbacked Lynn Vision | 36c | 98.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…547fbacked Lynn Vision | 19c | 93.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +249.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…6b2bbacked Alter Ego | 19c | 88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…d089backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 87.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…bf70backed Alter Ego | 41c | 86.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Lynn Vision | 66c | 82.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed Lynn Vision | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Lynn Vision | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…7300backed Alter Ego | 70c | 71.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Lynn Vision | 17c | 71.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…81cabacked Alter Ego | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…ea8abacked Alter Ego | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Alter Ego | 34c | 68.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lynn Vision | 21c | 61.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Lynn Vision | 24c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Lynn Vision | 66c | 58.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Alter Ego | 35c | 55.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Alter Ego | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Lynn Vision | 34c | 44.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e3…7311backed Alter Ego | 35c | 42.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Alter Ego | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cb…9c0ebacked Lynn Vision | 67c | 39.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Alter Ego | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…2c71backed Lynn Vision | 64c | 31.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…e043backed Alter Ego | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…4fa3backed Alter Ego | 57c | 27.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b31…5878backed Alter Ego | 72c | 19.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Lynn Vision | 70c | 15.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…dd32backed Lynn Vision | 70c | 14.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Alter Ego (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Alter Ego - Map 2 WinnerLynn Vision won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.