TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc011…bf70

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT6338.1%24 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.8
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.99
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.34
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.35
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$107.94
Counter-Strike: K27 vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.08
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Rare Atom (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked Rare Atom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.09
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Change The Game (BO3) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battle Playoffsbacked Change The Game · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
Counter-Strike: Unsettled Resentment vs TYLOO (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked Unsettled Resentment · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.01
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked SemperFi Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+206.2%+$102.58
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+198.8%+$166.13
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.54
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.01
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.19
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$19.36
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.03
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.55
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT4339.5%17 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.16
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$76.01
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.32
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.08
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.92
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.58
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.04
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.41
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$48.31
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$212.36
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.24
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.03
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$42.4
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$61.55
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$19.71
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.43
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50.23
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.9
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Ealabacked Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.36
Brisbane International: Cameron Norrie vs Ugo Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27.76
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Valentin Royerbacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+37%+$7.05
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandre Muller vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.79
Brisbane International: Tereza Valentova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14.02
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marin Cilic vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$8.91
ASB Classic: Francesca Jones vs Emma Navarrobacked Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13.2
Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Emilio Nava vs Laslo Djerebacked Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+37.8%+$8.25
Brisbane International: Jiri Lehecka vs Tomas Machacbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.94
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-71.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.94
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$11.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$31.79
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+37%+$12.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$72.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.