Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic: Francesca Jones vs Emma Navarro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bd1a8511f340067ff83c41ca62396eb8c4cc1ca0de926d55d877a7a77dd51b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jonesof Jones, Navarro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jones | 38c | 6,115$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.06 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Navarro | 63c | 2,200$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.21 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…1ef9backed Navarro | 57c | 2,187$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jones | 34c | 2,180$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.98 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Navarro | 76c | 1,650$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Navarro | 74c | 1,313$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Navarro | 43c | 1,178$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.54 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Navarro | 70c | 1,165$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Jones | 54c | 1,133$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.53 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Jones | 35c | 1,077$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.18 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Navarro | 39c | 697.93$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.19 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Navarro | 58c | 622.59$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.23 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Navarro | 59c | 618.98$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.12 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Jones | 30c | 602.43$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.7 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Navarro | 52c | 578.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Jones | 30c | 570$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Navarro | 71c | 540$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.75 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Navarro | 43c | 482.78$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.83 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Navarro | 46c | 438.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Navarro | 58c | 415.33$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Navarro | 80c | 356.48$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.18 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Navarro | 51c | 348.79$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.12 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Navarro | 14c | 325.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jones | 53c | 320.83$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.89 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Navarro | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…7181backed Navarro | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Jones | 20c | 263.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.08 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Navarro | 68c | 242.53$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.59 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Jones | 71c | 234.25$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Jones | 55c | 205.82$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.32 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Navarro | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Jones | 24c | 199.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.08 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked Navarro | 72c | 194.22$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.84 | 137 | 63.5%87 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Navarro | 71c | 173.71$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.22 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Jones | 47c | 142.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Jones | 22c | 132.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.12 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Navarro | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Jones | 43c | 120$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Navarro | 34c | 116$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Navarro | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Navarro | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…f991backed Navarro | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Navarro | 43c | 92.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Navarro | 78c | 78.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 79 | 81%64 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Jones | 70c | 73.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…f1a3backed Jones | 42c | 64.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Jones | 41c | 63.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed Navarro | 78c | 57.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…bf70backed Jones | 74c | 50.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Navarro | 47c | 39.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…f2b3backed Navarro | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd102…776ebacked Jones | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Jones | 65c | 33.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3270…c396backed Jones | 39c | 31.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Navarro | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…9b54backed Jones | 69c | 29.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Jones | 73c | 27.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3f…994fbacked Navarro | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jones | 46c | 22.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2a…700fbacked Jones | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +415.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x790d…9995backed Navarro | 79c | 20.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Jones | 57c | 20.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f5…e53ebacked Jones | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked Navarro | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Navarro | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Navarro | 78c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…dea6backed Navarro | 71c | 14.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.