CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd10b1c915bb9c9143d053b304d6b3179881ab15347e9b61b2ee8e5b8622e1e52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BET-M 33of K27, BET-M 33
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BET-M 33 | 70c | 1,265$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.87 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed K27 | 39c | 1,060$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.81 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BET-M 33 | 68c | 992.19$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.03 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BET-M 33 | 66c | 982.78$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.77 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BET-M 33 | 66c | 888.25$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.01 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed K27 | 34c | 853.2$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.81 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked BET-M 33 | 40c | 542.85$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.76 | 529 | 36.3%192 W · 337 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed K27 | 38c | 508.47$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.54 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed K27 | 25c | 481.36$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.14 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…be6fbacked K27 | 43c | 453.51$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.41 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BET-M 33 | 34c | 429.85$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.7 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked K27 | 39c | 399.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BET-M 33 | 61c | 362.47$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.55 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed K27 | 62c | 349.97$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.98 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked K27 | 66c | 298.33$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.9 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked K27 | 58c | 271.12$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.25 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked BET-M 33 | 38c | 152.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed K27 | 20c | 152$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed BET-M 33 | 61c | 121.53$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 530 | 55.5%294 W · 236 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked K27 | 41c | 118.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked K27 | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed BET-M 33 | 61c | 99.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd230…02dbbacked BET-M 33 | 69c | 92.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…131cbacked K27 | 23c | 83.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked K27 | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 264 | 54.2%143 W · 121 L | -19.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…bf70backed K27 | 48c | 73.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed K27 | 29c | 73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked BET-M 33 | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed BET-M 33 | 60c | 55.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 681 | 72.2%492 W · 189 L | +120.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed BET-M 33 | 61c | 52.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed BET-M 33 | 69c | 51.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed K27 | 37c | 50.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed BET-M 33 | 68c | 50.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed BET-M 33 | 45c | 49.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed BET-M 33 | 76c | 49.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked K27 | 21c | 48.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked BET-M 33 | 69c | 47.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed K27 | 52c | 47.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed K27 | 65c | 41.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 737 | 58.2%429 W · 308 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed K27 | 32c | 38.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked BET-M 33 | 72c | 32.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed K27 | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed K27 | 68c | 27.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BET-M 33 | 68c | 20.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs BET-M 33 - Map 1 WinnerBET-M 33 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs BET-M 33 - Map 2 WinnerBET-M 33 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.