Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-04?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20936c30dd581d66d6acf9eac5fa8e847d6ede1eb86e36b4ac721e030614009a

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $75,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $82,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,897 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2923…a6c5backed Yes	61c	20,595$12,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,501	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	59c	11,560$6,773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,786.87	1,916	45.5%872 W · 1,044 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No	28c	10,000$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,199.65	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+3.1wins	+0.12per pick	26cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	47c	6,048$2,842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,205.56	626	48.6%304 W · 322 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	56c	4,431$2,483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,947.61	1,415	40.8%577 W · 838 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	65c	3,550$2,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,241.27	711	40.2%286 W · 425 L	-26.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No	72c	2,746$1,982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$764.25	376	38.8%146 W · 230 L	-13.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf957…d5a6backed Yes	21c	2,259$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	18cpaid	+50%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No	15c	2,000$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,700	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+4.6wins	+0.42per pick	22cpaid	+183%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No	74c	1,832$1,358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.39	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No	45c	1,350$607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$742.44	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…dc71backed Yes	48c	1,250$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	53c	1,086$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.6	143	37.1%53 W · 90 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Yes	53c	1,066$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-4.2wins	-0.25per pick	54cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes	54c	930$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.2	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No	47c	800$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$424	339	38.1%129 W · 210 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No	57c	674.77$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.26	284	48.2%137 W · 147 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes	55c	636.35$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.99	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+58.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes	54c	625.05$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-52%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b23…9b23backed Yes	22c	624.59$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.41	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No	48c	616.51$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.59	351	57%200 W · 151 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No	47c	614.12$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.57	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	+6.0wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes	24c	445.25$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.95	95	35.8%34 W · 61 L	-7.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes	8c	443$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.44	266	60.5%161 W · 105 L	+25.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No	47c	436.43$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.31	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes	55c	409.09$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Yes	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-5.5wins	-0.18per pick	40cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed No	46c	330$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f5…eb92backed Yes	20c	314.1$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No	46c	300$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	+5.3wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No	79c	252.09$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.6	123	43.9%54 W · 69 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Yes	17c	237.13$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.8wins	+0.31per pick	47cpaid	+78.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No	80c	198.95$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.21	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79d1…f1a3backed No	51c	169.76$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510e…784fbacked Yes	55c	153.65$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.51	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9425…f025backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes	18c	133.33$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc011…bf70backed Yes	17c	120.47$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc133…81ebbacked Yes	53c	113.21$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.35per pick	60cpaid	-51%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…2f17backed Yes	17c	105.12$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.69	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39ad…887abacked Yes	52c	101.92$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-60%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes	76c	100$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	150	71.3%107 W · 43 L	+10.5wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	70	51.4%36 W · 34 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-5.8wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.16per pick	56cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x644b…ec38backed Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.4wins	-0.34per pick	54cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6840…5d75backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb08f…29a2backed Yes	22c	90.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes	54c	85.65$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	75	40%30 W · 45 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96d…842cbacked Yes	53c	84.91$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes	52c	84.42$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.9	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes	36c	84.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Yes	21c	77.08$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.96	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked No	46c	75$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.5	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+2.5wins	+0.27per pick	39cpaid	+50.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x898b…0140backed Yes	40c	68.35$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No	47c	67.93$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	79	46.8%37 W · 42 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes	53c	60.08$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.84	204	54.4%111 W · 93 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf617…7ff1backed Yes	53c	60$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b64…d59ebacked Yes	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No	47c	60$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.8	107	56.1%60 W · 47 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes	53c	60$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.28per pick	50cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc20b…ba2fbacked Yes	19c	54.16$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes	53c	51$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.03	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Yes	53c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	97	67%65 W · 32 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked No	47c	49$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.97	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.25per pick	41cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd483…6365backed No	80c	48.26$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.65	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed No	80c	47.28$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.46	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes	77c	45.36$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.79	350	37.7%132 W · 218 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab4…a7b3backed Yes	53c	43.89$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.26	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a17…5524backed Yes	55c	42.25$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.24	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a4b…41d5backed Yes	51c	40.71$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.76	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes	54c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	83	55.4%46 W · 37 L	+6.1wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd32…8580backed No	75c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	71cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x069f…7d02backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No	69c	39.06$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.98	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	+6.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed Yes	55c	38.18$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4f0…990ebacked Yes	53c	38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No	79c	37.97$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.14	183	60.7%111 W · 72 L	+7.7wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3df0…7eb8backed Yes	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Yes	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-3.7wins	-0.14per pick	60cpaid	-20%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes	29c	36.03$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.32	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes	50c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes	52c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed No	48c	29.17$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.17	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd1…0100backed Yes	54c	29$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2a…700fbacked Yes	53c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x625a…7bb3backed Yes	53c	28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.84	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd2…d794backed No	51c	27.82$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.63	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	60cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedea…22c9backed Yes	54c	27.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.67per pick	67cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa64b…1e4bbacked Yes	38c	27.14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.26per pick	56cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked No	47c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.25	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-04?this page
Will FC Lorient vs. FC Metz end in a draw?Yes won
Will FC Metz win on 2026-01-04?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-04?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event