TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x898b…0140

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT3141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Essexbacked Essex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+161.9%+$24.6
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$23.18
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+148.4%+$23.9
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$7.13
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Guernsey vs Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.32
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+395.7%+$197.83
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.39
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.94
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+172.7%+$95
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.5
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.34
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.53
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33.47
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$13.14
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$35.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25.6
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Transylvania Open: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Jiangxi Open: Lilli Tagger vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$14.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$3.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.