Bundesliga · resolved market
RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc02d10516ddb06feb675712666b2aa9b8e9cea41e7c64959b488186b3ea966bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 28c | 2,390$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.11 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 1,798$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.54 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Under | 57c | 1,707$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.16 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 1,697$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.15 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 1,593$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.8 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 19c | 1,463$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.91 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 1,062$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19e…c764backed Over | 76c | 985.6$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 789.68$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.14 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 74c | 758.44$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.25 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 66c | 745.81$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.86 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 64c | 382.19$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 32c | 346.46$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.23 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 28c | 337.49$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.92 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 58c | 299.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.65 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 15c | 299.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 267.79$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 56c | 260.79$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Over | 28c | 239.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over | 62c | 236.42$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 62c | 236.42$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.58 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 13c | 214.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.56 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 14c | 198.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.42 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 43c | 179.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 32c | 164.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 71c | 164.69$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Over | 63c | 153.73$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Over | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 59c | 151.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked Over | 75c | 137.23$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.61 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 41c | 129.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 15c | 123.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…77fbbacked Over | 43c | 122.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 63c | 84.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 48c | 70.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…0140backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb992…0838backed Over | 79c | 49.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 37c | 48.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Over | 33c | 47.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 50c | 43.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…bdf6backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55f6…63f3backed Over | 66c | 37.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 61c | 35.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 73c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…892fbacked Over | 78c | 31.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Over | 50c | 29.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 53c | 24.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 55c | 23.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 62c | 21.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ea…05b8backed Over | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 71cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…79c5backed Under | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Under | 65c | 15.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5this page
- RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Under won
- RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Under won
- RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.