Bundesliga · resolved market
RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4460c9cb63a201982d7ac3353bbd253a8c9e24756e867a6f1d4882a262fd202
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Yes | 60c | 2,394$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 42c | 2,000$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.95 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 1,819$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.34 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…6da3backed Yes | 58c | 645.38$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 42c | 507.54$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.58 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…644cbacked Yes | 58c | 389.46$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 40c | 343.18$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.91 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…f5e9backed No | 55c | 294.64$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 59c | 210.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.37 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 43c | 205.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.82 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 44c | 204.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 59c | 200.21$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.1 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…ae44backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 19c | 198.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935f…94b8backed Yes | 21c | 174.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 173.81$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 40c | 172.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 40c | 171.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 40c | 171.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 40c | 171.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Yes | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 60c | 170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 59c | 111.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Yes | 56c | 106.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed No | 40c | 100.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 38c | 96.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked Yes | 28c | 95.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 55c | 92.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 54c | 86.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…0ef8backed Yes | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…b7fdbacked Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 64c | 55.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 39c | 52.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 65c | 50.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 60c | 50.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…a7c2backed Yes | 61c | 49.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes | 58c | 49.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 39c | 45.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dd…96cbbacked Yes | 44c | 44.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 61c | 31.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Yes | 58c | 31.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…7673backed No | 50c | 25.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked No | 50c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 19.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 65c | 16.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 65c | 16.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 65c | 16.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 65c | 16.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 65c | 16.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 65c | 16.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Under won
- RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Under won
- RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Under won
- RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.