Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4663726cc7bce8ddd5cae4254a6697ddf1a74048910399d70b544404439516ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borussia Mönchengladbachof RB Leipzig, Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed RB Leipzig | 38c | 1,210$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.8 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed RB Leipzig | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 57c | 974.2$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.91 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 67c | 524.13$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.3 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed RB Leipzig | 44c | 441.43$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 56c | 236.94$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…ee73backed RB Leipzig | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked RB Leipzig | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked RB Leipzig | 44c | 193.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed RB Leipzig | 37c | 165.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed RB Leipzig | 28c | 121.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 116.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 58c | 115.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed RB Leipzig | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed RB Leipzig | 43c | 100.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 77.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 57c | 67.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed RB Leipzig | 42c | 64.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed RB Leipzig | 43c | 60.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked RB Leipzig | 27c | 53.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked RB Leipzig | 42c | 50.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 73c | 48.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked RB Leipzig | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7852…3eabbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked RB Leipzig | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 29.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 59c | 19.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 73c | 16.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 73c | 16.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 73c | 16.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)this page
- RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Under won
- RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Under won
- RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Under won
- RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.