Bundesliga · resolved market

RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x455d55a06ad54d8d64969092d9a1b7d5b0e7e041bd2f76d6ae27fe7fd1cb82d2

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,991
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $40,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,991 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0c45…0ac6backed Over	36c	14,841$5,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,329.58	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.25per pick	39cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	63c	10,131$6,367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,763.15	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	45c	6,648$2,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,654.18	481	41.8%201 W · 280 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	65c	2,273$1,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$797.01	208	45.7%95 W · 113 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over	36c	1,500$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.99	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over	46c	1,500$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$694.97	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	54c	1,329$715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$613.54	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	57c	1,205$682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.76	98	56.1%55 W · 43 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over	61c	922.92$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.76	751	42.5%319 W · 432 L	-26.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	65c	828.38$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.45	187	59.4%111 W · 76 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	49c	813.77$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.14	1,355	50.9%690 W · 665 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	49c	802.31$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.29	640	43.9%281 W · 359 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea03…a5a3backed Over	65c	753.08$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over	64c	696.19$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.56	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	62cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over	63c	600$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	32c	553.84$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.07	339	38.1%129 W · 210 L	-16.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under	64c	543.01$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.48	146	52.7%77 W · 69 L	+11.2wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	36c	504.45$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.96	206	45.6%94 W · 112 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	105	52.4%55 W · 50 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under	64c	494.58$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.73	205	48.3%99 W · 106 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Over	68c	490.4$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.47	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	66cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under	64c	485.25$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.66	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	64c	468.94$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.91	177	49.7%88 W · 89 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over	66c	445.27$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.88	189	58.2%110 W · 79 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	57c	427.43$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.55	142	60.6%86 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over	36c	335.8$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.63	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+5.0wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over	48c	315.57$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.47	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-5.6wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	35c	280$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182	157	47.1%74 W · 83 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over	34c	262.7$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.32	54	61.1%33 W · 21 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over	67c	250.89$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.1	115	40.9%47 W · 68 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under	65c	250.13$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.19	140	55%77 W · 63 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	53c	244.58$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.55	1,305	40.8%532 W · 773 L	-42.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over	57c	205.09$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.9	31	67.7%21 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over	53c	183.36$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.18	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	34c	181.04$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.99	698	51.9%362 W · 336 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over	55c	177.46$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.29	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.26per pick	59cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	57c	170.91$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.42	108	63%68 W · 40 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over	57c	170.91$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.42	53	64.2%34 W · 19 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b5…5b12backed Over	26c	164.95$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over	65c	160.04$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.03	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over	58c	155$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.9	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Over	66c	148.42$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.96	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	58cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	53c	135$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	346	55.5%192 W · 154 L	+9.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over	37c	130.03$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.11	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	57c	117.49$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.99	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Under	55c	106.15$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.77	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	147	26.5%39 W · 108 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Under	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	34c	99.97$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.97	1,083	50.8%550 W · 533 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	50c	97$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.5	388	45.6%177 W · 211 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over	47c	96.82$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.51	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	66c	96.16$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.05	1,681	45.2%759 W · 922 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	61c	87.89$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.62	91	73.6%67 W · 24 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	67cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over	68c	72.62$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.38	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	75c	68.38$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.03	1,013	44.5%451 W · 562 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under	66c	66.51$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.68	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over	48c	60.55$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.06	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Under	65c	57.06$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.98	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over	34c	53.67$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.25	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under	73c	51.33$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.96	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-7.0wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over	68c	43.27$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.42	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa722…8731backed Under	68c	41.83$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.39	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over	66c	40$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	86	60.5%52 W · 34 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Under	39c	38.29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.36	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	35c	38.02$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.71	298	55.4%165 W · 133 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over	65c	33.14$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.54	221	57%126 W · 95 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Over	66c	32.58$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	35c	32$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	496	47.4%235 W · 261 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Under	46c	31.55$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over	65c	30.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.58	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0156…2ddcbacked Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-5.1wins	-0.21per pick	38cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x39f0…ece9backed Over	65c	29.82$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9549…d3cbbacked Over	66c	29.68$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.59	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	63cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under	55c	29.21$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.14	77	49.4%38 W · 39 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bba…571ebacked Over	56c	26.08$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under	62c	25.64$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.82	150	48%72 W · 78 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under	62c	25.64$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.82	106	47.2%50 W · 56 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under	62c	25.46$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.63	111	48.6%54 W · 57 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over	63c	25.43$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.06	158	54.4%86 W · 72 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaebc…41f2backed Over	66c	22.37$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.69	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-22%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e9b…964fbacked Over	61c	22.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf55…92a2backed Over	56c	21.35$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.01	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.23per pick	63cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Over	55c	19.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-4.2wins	-0.22per pick	64cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	77c	17.52$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.98	213	55.4%118 W · 95 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Over	66c	16.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5this page
RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Under won
RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Under won
RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event