Bundesliga · resolved market
RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1817f35dc4504f959aacdd79c0e91d4ea1b509c4c28d1854bf2eb3b69a2095a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7909…e8febacked Over | 30c | 11,111$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 5,271$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.19 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 67c | 3,972$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.23 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 38c | 2,050$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.83 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 38c | 1,550$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 1,515$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.57 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 66c | 1,424$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.59 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 66c | 1,424$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.59 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 40c | 1,399$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.99 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 1,376$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.3 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 44c | 1,173$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 70c | 1,090$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.01 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 40c | 999.99$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 63c | 777.27$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.3 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 63c | 773.68$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Over | 44c | 737.98$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 43c | 666.37$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 27c | 654.36$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.04 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 31c | 489.5$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.75 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 78c | 381.35$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 30c | 360.46$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 353.05$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.22 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 59c | 340.8$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.73 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 340.75$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.93 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 43c | 336.91$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 60c | 319.4$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.76 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 16c | 296.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 63c | 247.75$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 13c | 205.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 67c | 184.61$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Over | 27c | 181.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf885…aac5backed Under | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…a87bbacked Under | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Under | 68c | 107.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 88.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 81.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…0319backed Over | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Under | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 57c | 51.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 41c | 45.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…879fbacked Over | 32c | 43.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 43c | 35.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 42c | 35.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…cab4backed Under | 67c | 25.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6d…4e2cbacked Under | 70c | 19.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5this page
- RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Under won
- RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Under won
- RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.