La Liga · resolved market
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14f9b21d98db242a6fa75baed5864f2b7c750c2acd6db06a45bbb1aa6a16f8ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 19,428$10,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,023.48 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 51c | 15,000$7,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,702.11 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 13,154$6,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,671.77 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 12,620$6,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,557.66 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 52c | 11,000$5,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,689.98 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 9,927$5,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,992.46 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 8,725$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,519.42 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 49c | 6,048$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.5 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 51c | 5,517$2,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.66 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5791…a476backed Yes | 52c | 4,692$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 52c | 3,491$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.86 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Yes | 42c | 2,982$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 62c | 2,828$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.31 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 1,900$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 1,615$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.15 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…d5a6backed Yes | 35c | 1,417$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 78c | 1,347$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.57 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 48c | 1,326$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.98 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,059$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 49c | 1,005$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.43 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda49…5307backed Yes | 50c | 998$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 48c | 975$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 52c | 970$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.4 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 51c | 962.95$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.1 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Yes | 45c | 895.3$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 37c | 883.6$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.93 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 58c | 737.4$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.47 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 53c | 692.29$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.88 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed No | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 52c | 580.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 559.96$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.12 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked No | 48c | 502.47$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.31 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 50c | 500$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes | 52c | 488.45$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 22c | 454.77$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +55%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 48c | 361$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.72 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Yes | 51c | 349$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f98…0610backed Yes | 52c | 331.71$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 35c | 300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 47c | 297.16$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.49 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 17c | 289.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 51c | 282.31$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 48c | 250.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 51c | 217.65$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked No | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…e07abacked Yes | 25c | 202.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb273…0c86backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 80c | 176.21$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed Yes | 38c | 172.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 52c | 162$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Yes | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…261dbacked Yes | 52c | 135.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 49c | 129.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1b…94b2backed Yes | 49c | 99.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 49c | 98.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 49c | 96.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Yes | 30c | 93.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed No | 49c | 92.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Yes | 12c | 89.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…614cbacked Yes | 52c | 81.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7762backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed No | 49c | 78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.33per pick | 40cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…1e60backed Yes | 41c | 77.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b3…c933backed Yes | 36c | 77.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 32cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…b427backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e41…d41fbacked Yes | 20c | 72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.