TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8e1b…94b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Cricket at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT4175.6%31 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$121.28
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.04
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$10
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.19
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$26.26
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$219.27
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.62
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$85.05
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$12.58
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,990Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$1,260
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$47.08
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$31.71
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$237.98
Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+47.1%+$94.12
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$73.97
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37%+$172.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$47.2
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$36.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$27.33
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$48
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.89
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$43.17
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$14.94
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$153.4
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$12.87
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$75.87
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$65.52
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.34
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$163
Will FC Barcelona vs. FC København end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+25%+$1,031.37
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$141.73
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$33.95
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$340.23
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$937Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$937.04
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.75
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$57.6
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.1
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.6
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$128.7
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$128.7
Will Cristhian Mosquera be included in Spain's official 2026 World Cup squad list?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$41.55
England vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$67.5
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.58
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$96.55
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$210.25
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
BNP Paribas Open: Dino Prizmic vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51
Open Sud de France: Arthur Gea vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$21.64
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Darderi vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+53.8%+$28
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.11
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+138.1%+$23.2
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$12.31
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+51.5%+$68
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+31.6%+$96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+163.2%+$16.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$15
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$159
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$79.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Nepal (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$154
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.