La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50733125ee9a0a6f9a7339643b07c5eda3621653b6ad223c74722c8693b31b37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $280,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 547 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 84,834$29,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,999.7 | 4,846 | 47%2,279 W · 2,567 L | -17.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 79c | 30,997$24,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,462.01 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 22c | 28,909$6,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,492.76 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 22c | 20,835$4,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,212.58 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 14,112$7,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,731.55 | 3,546 | 42.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed Yes | 79c | 13,980$10,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,984.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 77c | 8,280$6,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,385.27 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 20c | 7,909$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,311.95 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 7,683$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,327.27 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 64c | 7,196$4,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,604.5 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 36c | 6,483$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,148.92 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 23c | 6,133$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,722.14 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 76c | 4,981$3,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,785.64 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 55c | 4,550$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 39c | 4,345$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.59 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 22c | 4,236$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.25 | 751 | 57.3%430 W · 321 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…a7e0backed Yes | 44c | 4,095$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…db41backed Yes | 80c | 3,910$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.91 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 20c | 3,602$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.59 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,560$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.9 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 49c | 3,247$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.98 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 22c | 3,238$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.36 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 77c | 3,200$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 22c | 3,088$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.69 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 76c | 3,000$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.18 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 67c | 3,000$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.17 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…8e8dbacked Yes | 79c | 2,750$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.93 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Yes | 66c | 2,702$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 23c | 2,050$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.5 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x678b…beafbacked Yes | 72c | 2,012$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,988$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 36c | 1,723$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.06 | 606 | 48%291 W · 315 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7582…f64ebacked Yes | 78c | 1,617$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.98 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,463$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.47 | 879 | 39.9%351 W · 528 L | -20.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…642dbacked Yes | 78c | 1,409$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.72 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 57c | 1,400$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Yes | 77c | 1,304$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 56c | 1,296$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 8c | 1,282$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…2b21backed Yes | 65c | 1,225$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…e46cbacked Yes | 48c | 1,220$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.4 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 22c | 1,157$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.07 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 53c | 1,121$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.5 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed No | 45c | 1,121$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 22c | 1,103$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.33 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…b132backed Yes | 65c | 1,101$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedcd…a1c7backed Yes | 56c | 1,067$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e8…25debacked Yes | 78c | 1,064$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.17 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 21c | 1,053$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.94 | 858 | 50.3%432 W · 426 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c6a8backed Yes | 80c | 1,029$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c4…cc82backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Yes | 65c | 999.72$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Yes | 59c | 939.6$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f5…860ebacked Yes | 64c | 916.15$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 19c | 898.38$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.03 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 62c | 796.01$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.48 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 48c | 778.31$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…cc1bbacked Yes | 77c | 767.43$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…9b53backed Yes | 78c | 766.41$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 21c | 764$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.56 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…713abacked Yes | 78c | 760$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.8 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcf…510ebacked Yes | 77c | 760$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 22c | 755.52$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.56 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 22c | 752.23$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 78c | 739.64$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.92 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2278…3188backed Yes | 60c | 737.34$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51bf…9205backed Yes | 79c | 700.57$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…3224backed Yes | 75c | 697.82$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.14 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9beb…d8b3backed Yes | 78c | 696.15$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bb…b369backed Yes | 58c | 694.69$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Yes | 78c | 686.38$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.38 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 60c | 685$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.23 | 491 | 57%280 W · 211 L | +26.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 61c | 678.61$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes | 78c | 676.92$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes | 76c | 658.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 22c | 652.64$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.06 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…3b59backed Yes | 74c | 649.04$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 21c | 645.33$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes | 77c | 640.22$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.97 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 31c | 639.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.86 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 80c | 637.5$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…0d12backed Yes | 79c | 632.57$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Yes | 66c | 631.31$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.19 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 78c | 631.31$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.42 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Yes | 55c | 623.64$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…6e14backed Yes | 65c | 620$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28d…83e4backed No | 22c | 610.27$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed No | 20c | 588$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…feb3backed Yes | 78c | 575.72$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Yes | 78c | 550$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Yes | 75c | 544.55$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 21c | 533.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.4 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Yes | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…9a78backed Yes | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…5833backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-01-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.