Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec400c2ddf7a911e1f2bc39054674475b39eb4094dc9b0b5c7e07e199308dda8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $822,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $753,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $822,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 16c | 100,173$16,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,144.9 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 17c | 84,780$14,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,541.49 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 16c | 54,638$8,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,895.54 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 17c | 37,989$6,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,661.28 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 15c | 36,650$5,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,052.91 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 17c | 35,845$6,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,758.8 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 16c | 34,990$5,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,371.85 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 15c | 20,008$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,026.05 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 15c | 19,350$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,393.88 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 16c | 14,488$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,217.85 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 31c | 13,958$4,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,650.72 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 15c | 13,640$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,587.67 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 15c | 13,000$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,069.79 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…0de8backed No | 64c | 12,345$7,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,438.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 13c | 12,107$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,473.52 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 27c | 11,954$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,666.65 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 11,331$4,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,553.66 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff7…4bb3backed Yes | 62c | 10,620$6,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,605.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,099.76 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 16c | 9,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,529.93 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 16c | 8,422$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,075.43 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…4925backed No | 16c | 7,999$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,719.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Yes | 37c | 6,688$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 26c | 5,947$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,392.31 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 16c | 5,933$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,004.73 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 49c | 5,292$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.54 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked No | 16c | 5,100$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,284 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Yes | 72c | 5,040$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 38c | 4,732$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.8 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 52c | 4,151$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.42 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…7468backed Yes | 78c | 4,100$3,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 17c | 3,692$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.78 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 7c | 3,168$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.66 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 50c | 2,973$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 66c | 2,895$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 43c | 2,827$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.81 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked No | 15c | 2,582$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +231.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…e3d8backed No | 18c | 2,569$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.58 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 68c | 2,500$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…4aafbacked Yes | 79c | 2,387$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 40c | 2,303$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.69 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa088…3d07backed Yes | 74c | 1,898$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 79c | 1,892$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 16c | 1,839$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.76 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 60c | 1,823$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.19 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe923…0779backed Yes | 29c | 1,741$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 70c | 1,705$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 27c | 1,619$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.74 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 17c | 1,471$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.59 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,327$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.92 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,321$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.45 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b2…15b5backed No | 16c | 1,227$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,221$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.99 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed No | 25c | 1,200$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…0e50backed Yes | 38c | 1,186$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.47 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Yes | 66c | 1,161$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 21c | 1,150$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.57 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 71c | 1,086$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.05 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 30c | 1,083$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.98 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 21c | 999.97$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.97 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…e1e2backed No | 16c | 999$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +107%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbe…e27ebacked Yes | 67c | 985.04$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +139.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 48c | 950$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 44c | 911.01$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.31 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 18c | 905.75$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.26 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 45c | 903.19$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.96 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…63b7backed Yes | 75c | 872.03$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 15c | 800$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 54c | 781.48$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed No | 19c | 769.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.47 | 142 | 26.8%38 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e20…1524backed No | 15c | 706.87$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.84 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…89dabacked No | 21c | 700$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Yes | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked Yes | 59c | 674.12$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Yes | 38c | 651.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…46dfbacked Yes | 33c | 630$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…017abacked No | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712a…8ef9backed Yes | 70c | 601.79$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 17c | 601$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.83 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…b7fcbacked Yes | 79c | 596$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Yes | 75c | 584.67$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed No | 51c | 555$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.75 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x593e…8cc6backed Yes | 74c | 552$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…dbe8backed Yes | 78c | 549.99$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.58 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 18c | 547.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.83 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked No | 17c | 525.76$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.38 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 25c | 517.87$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.07 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…4b6ebacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…770fbacked Yes | 60c | 497.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 76c | 487.5$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 77c | 483.33$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.33 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?this page
- Will Spain vs. Türkiye end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Türkiye win on 2025-11-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.