TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Türkiye win on 2025-11-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$299,772
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$273,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,772 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d81…afb3backed Yes0c45,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes5c12,417$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.873441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes6c11,875$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.933520%7 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes7c6,047$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.664,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes7c6,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4203423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf32…aecbbacked Yes35c5,248$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Yes5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503112.9%4 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-50.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9416…991bbacked Yes8c4,999$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.09450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5c…4526backed Yes9c4,923$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.85468.7%4 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-66.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes6c4,050$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24360511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37ed…eebbbacked Yes5c3,925$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes2c3,887$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.613013.3%4 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe952…bde4backed Yes5c3,715$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.41216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-60.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe26f…1545backed Yes3c3,582$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003520%7 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe606…081dbacked Yes7c3,131$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.2340%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x636f…02c5backed Yes5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa365…ee73backed Yes5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.992722.2%6 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd063…e5b5backed Yes5c2,842$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes5c2,792$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes6c2,577$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022337.2%83 W · 140 L+20.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes8c2,537$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5523738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf104…b841backed Yes6c1,971$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.26728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-56.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Yes6c1,800$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1089324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…0717backed Yes6c1,782$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes6c1,714$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6330031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ff1…f463backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x783e…d7c8backed Yes6c1,650$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes5c1,604$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1817048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb97c…a418backed Yes7c1,547$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes8c1,361$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+119.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb63…8d15backed Yes7c1,329$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.092524%6 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes8c1,281$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71e5…13febacked Yes8c1,263$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes5c1,259$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9532031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9921…dcb7backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3859…d4ecbacked Yes7c1,196$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.241625%4 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed No71c1,189$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98b…6430backed Yes22c1,153$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes8c1,125$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.76229%18 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd456…ca64backed Yes8c1,079$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes4c1,077$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0823622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4d…7367backed Yes6c1,067$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes5c1,042$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.421837.2%81 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes5c1,009$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.457247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes7c999.95$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7022421%47 W · 177 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Yes6c999.74$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.981855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x55cd…be83backed Yes2c999$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x717e…ca8bbacked Yes10c965.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x058d…bbabbacked Yes10c959.6$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95100%0 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes5c918.73$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.493925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes7c880.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa2…dc0abacked Yes6c854.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.761526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Yes31c803.19$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes6c750.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.045343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c81…88aabacked Yes3c700$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0081…dc8bbacked Yes9c677.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.031136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e44…b77abacked Yes6c666.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb379…517bbacked Yes6c608$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.48728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0f…ee23backed Yes7c582.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes5c560$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284520%9 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92ce…ac76backed Yes5c551.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca66…2305backed Yes6c533.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafb5…2dfdbacked Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105431.5%17 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4923…3094backed Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes7c498.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510868.5%74 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes47c476.53$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9122959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes8c471.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.44112.2%5 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-70.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6640…e3febacked Yes5c470.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Yes5c453.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.68922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1da…0370backed Yes25c447.58$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab5…aab4backed Yes11c439.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-66.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0739…8f90backed Yes6c438.28$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.26329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9681…630bbacked Yes8c433.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Yes6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-51.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011217%19 W · 93 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d6…30babacked Yes9c396.89$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.671968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes17c393.48$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.019633.3%32 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes7c386.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8216925.4%43 W · 126 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c71…23dcbacked Yes9c385.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8310…d990backed Yes9c366.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-80.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8662…0731backed Yes32c362.66$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.841435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes6c350$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.56056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53fc…60fbbacked Yes6c342.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1e7…631fbacked Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4e…8163backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick33cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee44…0082backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e02…8a06backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes5c328$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.851,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7c08…d516backed Yes9c325.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3e9…4d23backed Yes31c323.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bd9…c7f1backed Yes8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1578927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe04…9978backed Yes7c293.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3688…7567backed Yes7c285.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2be1…fc85backed Yes5c279.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c4…7d1dbacked Yes7c277.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201520%3 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Yes6c265.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.