TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0739…8f90

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.52
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.03
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.12
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.33
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.38
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.32
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.58
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.46
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,597Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,597.25
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.23
Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.11
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.5
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.15
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.76
Will Türkiye win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$28.26
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.82
Will Liechtenstein win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Malta win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT150%0 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,627Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,627.34
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.9
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.35
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$2,205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,204.66
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$53.57
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$246.63
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$31.82
Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$311.68
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$251.15
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$63.78
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$633.26
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26.2
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-75.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$246.48
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$252.25
Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$527.93
Will Israel strike 4 or more countries in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$243.08
Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$46.96
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$398
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+167.1%+$1,254.11
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+154.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Dutch government be another combination?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21.34
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17.61
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$43.24
Will turnout be at least 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$41.47
Will turnout be between 78% and 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+950.8%+$511.17
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+1,398.4%+$472.23
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$92.41
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$83.59
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+544.8%+$168.98
Will Zohran Mamdani get more than 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$26.43
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$79.02
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$68.8
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$117.13
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Trump x Mamdani debate before election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.12
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.29
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$214.61
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$111.06
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+488.2%+$424.13
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$141.87
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$33.28
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.55
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick13cpaid+102.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.96
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$55.65
Will Tyson Fury KO Oleksandr Usyk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$70.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+46.7%+$17.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.