Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17414b5654467cc23ac6e5cba7ecf87952ea12ea08a8e09fbfef5f3b218e2bab

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 2, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,979,751
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,230,880

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,979,751 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 922 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x06dc…af59backed Yes	29c	195,082$57,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137,668.05	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	+9.9wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa445…0286backed Yes	1c	119,259$634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118,624.23	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	0cpaid	+2,830.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	36c	116,508$42,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74,267.68	253	37.2%94 W · 159 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	1c	96,595$1,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95,565.07	190	27.9%53 W · 137 L	+14.5wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+53%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	66c	78,204$51,818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,385.91	118	53.4%63 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No	34c	54,059$18,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,245.99	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked No	9c	50,064$4,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,271.91	166	12.7%21 W · 145 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6427…0d0dbacked No	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb37…2bf1backed Yes	3c	41,940$1,445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,494.55	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	8cpaid	+441.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5907…3b88backed No	0c	40,215$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes	0c	35,000$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,874.67	182	14.8%27 W · 155 L	+11.4wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+218.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6d7…9db4backed Yes	79c	32,983$25,947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,036.46	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dc4…7028backed Yes	2c	32,855$642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,213.55	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	3cpaid	+1,179.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No	1c	32,847$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.9	444	0.7%3 W · 441 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-87.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec7b…faadbacked Yes	1c	32,410$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,139.57	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	10cpaid	+742.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4c5…72bfbacked No	2c	30,550$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.47	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes	0c	28,935$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,846.1	412	1%4 W · 408 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+171.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No	4c	28,805$1,159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,159.23	64	10.9%7 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf492…3061backed No	2c	26,950$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.67	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes	70c	26,762$18,634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,128.04	185	30.3%56 W · 129 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes	3c	26,497$727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,770.41	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Yes	38c	26,003$9,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,017.51	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes	62c	25,573$15,963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,610	114	28.9%33 W · 81 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+70.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc00d…6cd3backed Yes	50c	24,036$12,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,955.96	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	24cpaid	+149.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc708…70abbacked Yes	63c	23,965$14,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,972.29	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-68%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes	55c	22,294$12,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,108.12	180	36.7%66 W · 114 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09f5…b88dbacked Yes	41c	22,059$9,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,058.58	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07d3…9bdabacked No	69c	21,695$14,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,985.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb6f…25f0backed No	19c	21,655$4,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,082.68	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51b1…7865backed No	0c	21,000$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-37%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	0c	21,000$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,946.84	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked No	16c	18,364$2,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,848.78	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+50.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53a4…4447backed Yes	39c	17,921$6,981 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,939.49	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+3.5wins	+0.21per pick	26cpaid	+95.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed No	11c	17,856$1,984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,983.55	101	27.7%28 W · 73 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes	49c	17,821$8,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,019.83	72	25%18 W · 54 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51f7…f874backed No	1c	17,691$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.57	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	40c	17,489$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,488.98	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1601…ed94backed Yes	0c	17,000$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,940	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+3.3wins	+0.22per pick	11cpaid	+2,128.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x978e…80bcbacked Yes	4c	16,542$721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,820.79	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed No	6c	16,404$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978.67	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked Yes	49c	15,529$7,535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,994.27	432	43.1%186 W · 246 L	+29.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Yes	41c	15,257$6,255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,002.11	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+10.7wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f58…129abacked Yes	1c	14,464$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,301.61	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+582.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes	63c	14,105$8,836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,268.35	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe87f…6931backed Yes	3c	14,103$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,652.16	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	11cpaid	+942.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f35…4437backed Yes	2c	13,999$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,777.74	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+397.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe209…3ebfbacked Yes	4c	13,752$595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,156.89	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+2.4wins	+0.61per pick	14cpaid	+693.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c73…257cbacked Yes	15c	13,195$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,195.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.40per pick	10cpaid	+229.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3255…3780backed No	4c	12,709$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x368b…2458backed Yes	74c	12,596$9,301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,294.75	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3965…766fbacked No	8c	12,460$1,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,015	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…91dabacked Yes	78c	12,075$9,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,658.58	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ac…2c21backed Yes	60c	11,943$7,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,774.1	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+56.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	22c	11,174$2,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,414.24	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes	70c	11,104$7,768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,335.9	85	55.3%47 W · 38 L	+6.6wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8731…1181backed Yes	8c	11,063$903 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,159.99	70	57.1%40 W · 30 L	+5.9wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes	37c	10,453$3,878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,574.56	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	+5.5wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+46.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb81…4e1fbacked Yes	2c	10,290$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,135.65	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.73per pick	27cpaid	+3,327.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c4f…5e76backed Yes	72c	9,707$6,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,746.34	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ff…55bdbacked No	62c	9,658$6,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,013.14	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ee…794dbacked Yes	75c	9,420$7,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,342.85	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes	36c	9,418$3,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,027.48	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a36…bd73backed No	65c	9,406$6,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,076.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes	46c	9,089$4,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,869.15	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	33cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ed8…85aebacked Yes	77c	9,014$6,978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,036.25	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0723…2762backed No	5c	8,879$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.28per pick	32cpaid	+254%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96d4…ba93backed Yes	48c	8,696$4,194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,502.78	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	37cpaid	+78.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac80…97b1backed No	2c	8,549$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.34	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20da…06e3backed No	2c	8,332$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.81	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes	0c	8,300$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,269.72	452	1.1%5 W · 447 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+156.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x536d…4b67backed Yes	39c	8,294$3,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,091.66	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes	36c	8,250$2,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,288.58	117	41%48 W · 69 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes	80c	8,188$6,539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,648.89	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-4.5wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	1c	8,100$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,033.2	316	35.1%111 W · 205 L	-11.1wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1970…74b1backed Yes	38c	7,836$2,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,865.91	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed No	8c	7,810$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.02	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6350…2e3abacked Yes	1c	7,400$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,363	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+1.00per pick	1cpaid	+19,900%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes	73c	7,171$5,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,933.28	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	57cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5787…5a48backed Yes	0c	7,140$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,104.13	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.17per pick	3cpaid	+3,937%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed No	2c	6,997$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.72	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+285.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…2202backed Yes	11c	6,834$779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,054.52	84	56%47 W · 37 L	+9.4wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yes	73c	6,607$4,838 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,768.36	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6653…110dbacked Yes	9c	6,581$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,996.12	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.32per pick	28cpaid	+231.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes	66c	6,462$4,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,224.05	114	54.4%62 W · 52 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeed7…c2e0backed Yes	8c	6,399$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,898.78	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+212%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d5…4346backed Yes	42c	6,379$2,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,719.28	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No	10c	6,244$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.7	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd994…7082backed Yes	0c	6,237$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,211.62	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	1cpaid	+12,400%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Yes	72c	6,230$4,455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,774.74	76	25%19 W · 57 L	-7.3wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x81e1…7265backed Yes	0c	6,010$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,980.44	30	30%9 W · 21 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+640.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2021…a8d5backed No	4c	6,000$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.82	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dbd…a700backed Yes	36c	5,852$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,751.81	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad5e…f6cebacked Yes	41c	5,792$2,385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,407.92	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.59per pick	41cpaid	+142.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd7…9c85backed Yes	39c	5,729$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,479.56	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed No	63c	5,718$3,621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,620.89	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95e5…0920backed Yes	7c	5,540$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,168.16	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+272.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50df…eb41backed No	6c	5,355$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.66	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bd…eab6backed Yes	9c	5,284$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,834.37	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	+193.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1f…7d0fbacked Yes	12c	5,150$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,549.9	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+64.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d9…e4eebacked Yes	36c	5,130$1,867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,262.38	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event