World Politics · resolved market
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a71af556bec47f82e288799a073b8d5155954151b83a099265daef730ada942
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,037,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,230,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,037,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 225,351$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.66 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 0cpaid | +2,830.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 23c | 170,000$38,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,622.74 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 15c | 129,253$18,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,965.06 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 14c | 124,688$17,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,871.18 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…f102backed Yes | 9c | 54,065$5,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,006.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 13c | 48,445$6,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,111.24 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 9c | 45,182$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880.44 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 35,218$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.99 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc00d…6cd3backed Yes | 11c | 26,654$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 12c | 25,540$3,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151.58 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 22c | 24,500$5,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,485 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdc…0eddbacked Yes | 15c | 24,313$3,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,764 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 30c | 24,059$7,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,102.25 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 11c | 20,249$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.87 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 10c | 19,663$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.28 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f35…4437backed Yes | 8c | 19,558$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +397.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 14c | 16,597$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.89 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Yes | 3c | 16,059$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.79 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 21c | 15,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Yes | 26c | 14,000$3,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,590 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +2,378.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…3acbbacked Yes | 30c | 13,361$4,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005.51 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 13,241$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.08 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 22c | 13,029$2,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.96 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 14c | 11,923$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.71 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c36…1627backed Yes | 9c | 11,916$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 4c | 11,707$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.74 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048e…6e41backed Yes | 0c | 11,647$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 12c | 11,566$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.46 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +640.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Yes | 21c | 11,217$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed Yes | 8c | 11,141$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.95 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 3c | 10,785$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.55 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…87e2backed Yes | 4c | 10,301$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…74b1backed Yes | 3c | 10,247$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd0…0f6abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…91dabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 10c | 9,325$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.32 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbd…a700backed Yes | 3c | 7,492$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 7,399$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed7…c2e0backed Yes | 7c | 7,372$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +212%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 5c | 6,906$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.98 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3392…1cacbacked Yes | 2c | 6,816$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 12c | 6,015$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 5c | 5,758$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.88 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa257…ea6ebacked No | 78c | 5,500$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…95f9backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…09a8backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x998d…b62cbacked Yes | 3c | 4,651$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 22c | 4,176$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.31 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…97bfbacked Yes | 16c | 4,112$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…72abbacked Yes | 3c | 4,000$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 16c | 3,719$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.57 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…bc8cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,717$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…816fbacked Yes | 4c | 3,500$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 26c | 3,500$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.69 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 8c | 3,378$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.51 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 6c | 3,327$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.53 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…aaabbacked Yes | 8c | 3,250$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 10c | 3,197$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.53 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 8c | 3,121$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.26 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 23c | 3,116$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.61 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdf…7f36backed Yes | 6c | 3,096$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 19c | 2,941$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.56 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…2fc9backed Yes | 3c | 2,910$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…f836backed Yes | 2c | 2,900$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…96b3backed Yes | 16c | 2,851$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 12c | 2,755$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 3c | 2,708$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddd…394fbacked Yes | 14c | 2,653$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc821…3df4backed Yes | 3c | 2,596$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +223.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,484$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.72 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 18c | 2,410$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.58 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 7c | 2,402$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.62 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,371$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.74 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 2,370$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.01 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…2ce1backed Yes | 18c | 2,357$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 2,308$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.01 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3154…e615backed Yes | 7c | 2,285$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.95 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…636bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,255$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 2c | 2,224$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Yes | 6c | 2,133$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 7c | 2,017$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…070dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,976$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e5…610ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +682.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…4e0bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,800$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 11c | 1,750$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.79 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…994dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,710$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…955cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,704$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d5…709bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,675$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…b1afbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…3686backed Yes | 3c | 1,657$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +476%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…08a1backed Yes | 18c | 1,637$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,610$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa242…4ea0backed Yes | 2c | 1,600$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 3c | 1,578$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed No | 70c | 1,572$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.78 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?this page
- Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will Volt Netherlands win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.