World Politics · resolved market
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d4d6916fa50ad0be01c1c065a6b3ad95f5d444c18fc6b766a99d31173469303
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,147,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,896,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,147,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,573 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 39c | 220,836$86,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,006.56 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…8340backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 42c | 161,292$68,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,284.36 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…3acbbacked Yes | 61c | 151,849$92,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,991.34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 3c | 144,234$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,070.76 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 15c | 124,120$18,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,626.24 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe494…86e6backed Yes | 9c | 122,785$10,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,589.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 39c | 94,754$36,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,105.08 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19c…f16bbacked No | 34c | 92,500$31,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,088.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +169%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 54c | 90,569$48,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,559.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 11c | 89,863$9,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,968.2 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes | 76c | 79,891$60,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,520.17 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…3061backed Yes | 1c | 76,441$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.04 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed Yes | 0c | 76,048$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 3c | 70,349$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.51 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 7c | 69,587$4,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,552.4 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked Yes | 7c | 66,257$4,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,501.67 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 64,993$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.16 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 0cpaid | +2,830.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 49c | 61,418$29,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,951.34 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ec…19aabacked Yes | 16c | 60,773$9,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,572.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 59,463$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.63 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa929…5d12backed Yes | 6c | 55,320$3,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…2e44backed Yes | 2c | 52,158$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +56%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6427…0d0dbacked Yes | 1c | 50,747$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…f874backed Yes | 1c | 48,956$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 13c | 44,121$5,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,580.49 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…bb52backed Yes | 2c | 44,057$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Yes | 26c | 42,933$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc00d…6cd3backed No | 50c | 41,501$20,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,827.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 70c | 40,678$28,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,644.69 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 52c | 39,515$20,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,529.67 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -7.2wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x24c3…8b53backed Yes | 6c | 38,409$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…bf33backed Yes | 79c | 37,128$29,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,370.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4593…7308backed Yes | 26c | 36,089$9,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3965…766fbacked Yes | 43c | 35,342$15,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,049.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 2c | 34,608$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.43 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…2609backed Yes | 7c | 33,728$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f30…c216backed Yes | 3c | 32,635$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Yes | 7c | 30,496$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc7…2229backed Yes | 13c | 29,698$3,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,712.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 52c | 29,411$15,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,428.66 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec2…70a8backed Yes | 8c | 28,675$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…816fbacked Yes | 17c | 28,329$4,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,858.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…72bfbacked Yes | 3c | 28,119$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x690c…2af9backed Yes | 22c | 27,428$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40c…15eabacked Yes | 7c | 27,024$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e8…8f28backed Yes | 33c | 27,014$8,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,891.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc292…92d8backed Yes | 52c | 26,803$13,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,859.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 59c | 26,685$15,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,998.23 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae59…83a2backed Yes | 6c | 25,868$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f5…b88dbacked Yes | 39c | 25,649$10,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,003 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa6…b0a1backed Yes | 43c | 25,176$10,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,824.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8a…527fbacked Yes | 4c | 24,848$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 64c | 24,800$15,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,902.63 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed No | 42c | 24,000$10,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,943.96 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…d6d2backed Yes | 20c | 23,668$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63fb…4367backed Yes | 3c | 23,252$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 22,545$5,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,921.53 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 8c | 22,398$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.1 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…9bb1backed Yes | 21c | 22,345$4,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,618.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bc…06b7backed Yes | 32c | 21,396$6,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,891.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…5dcabacked Yes | 1c | 21,280$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdc…0eddbacked Yes | 42c | 21,275$9,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,017.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 71c | 21,147$15,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,034.5 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 3c | 21,121$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 21,012$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.14 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d4…ffb3backed Yes | 51c | 20,899$10,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,735.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Yes | 2c | 20,812$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.49 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…14b0backed Yes | 65c | 20,812$13,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,462.32 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…8294backed Yes | 17c | 20,631$3,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…3b10backed Yes | 6c | 20,564$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 54c | 20,520$11,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,020.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…b080backed Yes | 4c | 20,170$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…b3cbbacked Yes | 6c | 20,088$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed No | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,400 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd7…1778backed Yes | 78c | 19,755$15,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,486.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 69c | 19,699$13,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,554.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 12c | 19,697$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…faadbacked Yes | 5c | 19,686$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.44 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +742.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c4…8fd6backed Yes | 7c | 19,393$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cc…702dbacked Yes | 1c | 19,376$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…a751backed Yes | 3c | 18,255$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823e…0735backed Yes | 6c | 18,116$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…6034backed Yes | 4c | 17,562$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 60c | 17,546$10,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,481.08 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…8beebacked Yes | 77c | 17,117$13,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,120.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…ba93backed No | 30c | 16,536$5,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,509.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…0df8backed Yes | 27c | 16,045$4,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275.81 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…529fbacked Yes | 44c | 15,909$7,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,007.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked Yes | 49c | 15,895$7,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,791.2 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…2f89backed Yes | 15c | 15,735$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…2280backed No | 58c | 15,607$9,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,553.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9f…2e3abacked Yes | 3c | 15,394$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…65d1backed Yes | 2c | 15,381$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 55c | 14,967$8,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,801.77 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 71c | 14,797$10,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,562.78 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e13…a713backed Yes | 13c | 14,433$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa154…321cbacked Yes | 23c | 14,342$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes | 71c | 14,123$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…d15cbacked Yes | 71c | 14,120$9,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,977.86 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?this page
- Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will Volt Netherlands win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.