TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x80c5…65d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Lol, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 50 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,062.03
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,319Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,318.92
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$698.03
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$57,000
League of Legends: Cloud9 vs. 100 Thievesbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,400
League of Legends: LOUD vs. RED Canidsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,700
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. OKSavingsBank BRIONbacked Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16,659Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$9,370.88
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Weibo Gamingbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,727Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+120.8%+$4,499.95
League of Legends: BDS vs. Team Hereticsbacked BDS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$9,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,369.65
League of Legends: LYON vs. 100 Thievesbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15,012Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+81.4%+$12,223.49
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. JD Gamingbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,055Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+29.3%+$1,188.79
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. Invictus Gamingbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,016.24
League of Legends: Team WE vs. Top Esportsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$433.27
League of Legends: LNG Esports vs. ThunderTalk Gamingbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+151.1%+$1,775.56
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. Gen.Gbacked Hanwha Life · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,173.78
League of Legends: DRX vs. DN Freecsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$1,649.99
League of Legends: Team Orange Gaming vs. ROSSMANN Centaursbacked Team Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$400
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Top Esportsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,388Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+127.9%+$5,611.7
League of Legends: Fnatic vs. G2 Esportsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$8,112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+72.6%+$5,891.47
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$3,577.26
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,920
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62,745Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$62,745.29
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,432.7
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$6,714Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$6,714.4
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$4,197Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$4,196.52
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21,590Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+85.3%+$18,410.14
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$240.01
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,071Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+292.5%+$6,055.58
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14,410Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+53%+$7,642.01
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,669Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,669.06
Over $1.1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$782.72
Is $DJT real?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$4,697Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$4,697.14
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST Open: FaZe vs. G2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19,543Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$19,543.45
EWC Cs2: G2 vs. Falconsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,082.23
EWC Cs2: FaZe vs. Aurorabacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,818Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+85.5%+$5,829.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advancebacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,999.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,999.99
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$65.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Iran on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$271.94
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,597Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,596.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$295.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$7,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$7,500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,591Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$5,590.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$930
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,195Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11,195.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.