Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Team WE vs. Top Esports
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdef68ea87a4f34321ac6b36d38a39a85a4f7aabb7f415a8d3a5c487537a4ea61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esportsof Team WE, Top Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Team WE | 35c | 35,628$12,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,557.23 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0e…8a7ebacked Top Esports | 25c | 12,109$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,081.8 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Team WE | 49c | 11,852$5,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,776.2 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Top Esports | 76c | 11,604$8,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.6 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team WE | 22c | 9,396$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.28 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed Top Esports | 56c | 7,051$3,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.64 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Top Esports | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team WE | 26c | 6,280$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Team WE | 37c | 3,224$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.72 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed Top Esports | 75c | 2,944$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.55 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Team WE | 40c | 2,575$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.44 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…65d1backed Team WE | 18c | 2,407$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.27 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Team WE | 52c | 2,324$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.72 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Top Esports | 56c | 1,821$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.43 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team WE | 9c | 1,750$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team WE | 37c | 1,398$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.14 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Team WE | 2c | 1,015$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 386 | 24.4%94 W · 292 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Top Esports | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team WE | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Top Esports | 67c | 979.12$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.77 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Top Esports | 65c | 808.85$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.85 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Top Esports | 74c | 771.44$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.58 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 56cpaid | +115%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Top Esports | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Top Esports | 57c | 492$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.56 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d2…4f20backed Top Esports | 53c | 469$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.65 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Top Esports | 80c | 418.75$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Team WE | 50c | 402.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Team WE | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Team WE | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Team WE | 20c | 378.05$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Top Esports | 68c | 367.64$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Top Esports | 61c | 342.46$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.46 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Top Esports | 78c | 310$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89d…d6b7backed Top Esports | 73c | 304.74$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Top Esports | 67c | 300.09$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team WE | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Top Esports | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Team WE | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Top Esports | 56c | 260.68$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Team WE | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Top Esports | 58c | 248.28$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Team WE | 43c | 222$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Top Esports | 67c | 220.78$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…9766backed Top Esports | 73c | 220.39$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…3db0backed Top Esports | 76c | 209$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Team WE | 37c | 176.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5a…b7aabacked Top Esports | 61c | 170$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Team WE | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 504 | 55%277 W · 227 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Top Esports | 56c | 157.14$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd20…d348backed Top Esports | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Top Esports | 77c | 138$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Top Esports | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 217 | 35.9%78 W · 139 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked Top Esports | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Team WE | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Top Esports | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8670…7c70backed Top Esports | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Team WE | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Team WE | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed Team WE | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Team WE | 29c | 79.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Top Esports | 66c | 76.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Top Esports | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…aba8backed Team WE | 20c | 65.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked Top Esports | 35c | 60.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Top Esports | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Top Esports | 63c | 52.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Top Esports | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Team WE | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 641 | 46.5%298 W · 343 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Team WE | 46c | 43.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…30c1backed Top Esports | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…5ccebacked Top Esports | 54c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed Top Esports | 63c | 24.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Top Esports | 54c | 23.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +12.5wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Top Esports | 72c | 18.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.