TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeb2a…5cce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
172
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST9430.9%29 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.11
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$158.82
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$74.15
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$79.71
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$52
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+693.7%+$262.2
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$44.78
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$27
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$62.18
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.77
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$36
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$49.98
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$88.59
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+163.2%+$62
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+139%+$161.7
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39.21
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+361.5%+$590.15
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX - Game 3 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$33.76
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$73
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$39.34
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+72.4%+$63
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$116.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$52
LoL: DK vs BFXbacked BFX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.04
LoL: FNC vs GXbacked FNC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+58.4%+$27.87
LoL: BLG vs TESbacked TES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$276.92
LoL: KOI vs G2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+35%+$32.04
LoL: IG vs ALbacked IG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.51
LoL: HLE vs T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.27
BLAST Open: Vitality vs. FaZebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+56%+$19.75
BLAST Open: M80 vs. Natus Vincerebacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+153.4%+$34.88
Will The MongolZ win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+41.3%+$57.94
Will Aurora win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.25
EWC Cs2: The MongolZ vs. Vitalitybacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+200.9%+$26.53
EWC Cs2: 3DMAX vs. The MongolZbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
EWC Cs2: MOUZ vs. Virtus.probacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will The MongolZ win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.33
Will MOUZ win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.14
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid+39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.98
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+216.1%+$70.94
Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$517.24
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$38.5
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+73.7%+$87.26
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$372
Will Trump say "Rwanda" or "Congo" 12+ times during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+1,150%+$184
Will Trump say "Ukraine" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Trump say "Inflation" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$83.2
Will Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$43.2
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$66.3
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$57.44
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+244.8%+$142
All 17 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+57.5%+$98.17
Will Trump say "Tariff" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+203%+$223.11
Will Trump say "Invest" or "Investment" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Trump say "Oil" 15+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+69.3%+$83.03
Will Trump say "Venezuela" 7+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+57.7%+$35.12
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$162
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Will Trump say "B-2" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump say "Thank you" or "Please" 13+ times during the medal presentation on December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+36.6%+$74.79
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-76.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esportsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 5.0 or above earthquake in Greece by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Tate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$438.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$32.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.