TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will MOUZ win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$242,359
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,359 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfeb9…b34bbacked Yes46c93,056$42,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,981.230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked No63c65,721$41,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,503.5916357.1%93 W · 70 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked No55c21,647$11,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,728.96264.5%40 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed No54c12,173$6,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,581.595149%25 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e71…b27ebacked Yes20c11,074$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.781020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-50.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e21…c431backed Yes12c8,204$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes16c7,587$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.2612328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7c7…7f70backed Yes12c6,962$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes7c6,458$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.0424935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6504257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes7c4,731$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.992326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92f…8169backed Yes50c4,276$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.943036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed No54c4,000$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8606152.5%32 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad52…1013backed Yes10c3,977$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.12714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No53c3,757$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.3164552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes14c3,601$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.625934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes15c3,566$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.191526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Yes36c3,384$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.5175450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01dc…577ebacked Yes13c3,300$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Yes12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603215.6%5 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-57%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed No53c2,856$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.3845848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd758…7af8backed Yes13c2,823$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3676931.9%22 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Yes47c2,347$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.2316349.7%81 W · 82 L-19.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Yes48c2,208$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06020150.7%102 W · 99 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes17c2,170$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.36613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No55c2,141$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.766144.3%27 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…db6ebacked Yes11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.953633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Yes46c1,881$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.029552.6%50 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No73c1,699$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.7313532.6%44 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96da…68b6backed Yes13c1,658$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Yes27c1,620$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.413235.6%47 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x530c…fb1bbacked No80c1,518$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.684100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5861…66efbacked Yes29c1,400$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4256…b85ebacked Yes10c1,400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No74c1,074$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.264560%27 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe732…7465backed Yes8c1,068$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.466643.9%29 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cf1…f522backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6111…cbe3backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Yes9c999.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9219155.5%106 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf030…27bfbacked Yes11c985.02$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.673737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes32c975.15$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.1314332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Yes25c970$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.54429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.1wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x84cb…3e65backed Yes10c800.52$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.372339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes46c614.28$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.825736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed Yes10c608.8$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.886842.6%29 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No55c599$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.5558961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Yes46c566.88$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.254348.8%21 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76c0…d8bebacked Yes10c562.57$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.82045%9 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x215d…ba6dbacked Yes46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011847.5%56 W · 62 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes29c540.96$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8585446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No52c534.16$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.813447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe34a…273ebacked Yes13c512.77$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16f4…9cb5backed Yes47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed Yes45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22512638.9%49 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes10c495.29$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0831735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes47c429.08$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5160953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe845…a28ebacked No54c408.8$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed No52c388$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2463345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes13c385.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010738.3%41 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes14c370.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011269.6%78 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed Yes13c365.87$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.962133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ddd…53ebbacked Yes18c364.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.153743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Yes46c328.8$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.251650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae09…6a64backed Yes16c321.17$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes47c320.43$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15033456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes16c316.81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.351,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa6f…7e67backed No69c310.53$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked No61c300$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed Yes32c289.87$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6622242.8%95 W · 127 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2ee…c6f0backed Yes12c252.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Yes46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1158737.9%33 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes41c232$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.322540%10 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Yes7c230$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.13551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8707…6b8bbacked Yes45c225.87$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b0…4f5cbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008736.8%32 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x206a…24a5backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x388e…b68cbacked Yes29c207.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-69.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e5d…63efbacked Yes41c203.48$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a6…d989backed Yes48c191.35$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Yes14c184.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.999848%47 W · 51 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f1…8dd4backed Yes15c180$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcbe…ee8dbacked Yes10c177.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.741145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0748…ba12backed Yes15c176.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa239…599dbacked Yes21c169.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a99…7db2backed Yes18c165.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5c…8b88backed Yes9c151$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.59425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dc7…dfe0backed No72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes43c144.41$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.188242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b3…8732backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb11a…a80ebacked No71c140.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes13c137.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4152837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes17c130$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.330748.9%150 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b23…f2d9backed Yes16c115.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b98…df61backed Yes42c107.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa9a…df7fbacked Yes47c106.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5313740.9%56 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310252%53 W · 49 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…cd12backed No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464250%21 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.