CS2 · resolved market
Will MOUZ win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb9b8c398061568589a6926bcd9ff378aecb7475794727cbedec4f1cadb60dea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfeb9…b34bbacked Yes | 46c | 93,056$42,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,981.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 63c | 65,721$41,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,503.59 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked No | 55c | 21,647$11,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,728.9 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 54c | 12,173$6,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,581.59 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e71…b27ebacked Yes | 20c | 11,074$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.78 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…c431backed Yes | 12c | 8,204$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 16c | 7,587$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.26 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c7…7f70backed Yes | 12c | 6,962$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 7c | 6,458$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.04 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 7c | 4,731$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…8169backed Yes | 50c | 4,276$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.94 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed No | 54c | 4,000$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…1013backed Yes | 10c | 3,977$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 53c | 3,757$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.31 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 14c | 3,601$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.6 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 15c | 3,566$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.19 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 36c | 3,384$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.51 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…577ebacked Yes | 13c | 3,300$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 53c | 2,856$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.38 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…7af8backed Yes | 13c | 2,823$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Yes | 47c | 2,347$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.23 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Yes | 48c | 2,208$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 17c | 2,170$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.3 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 55c | 2,141$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.76 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.95 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Yes | 46c | 1,881$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.02 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 73c | 1,699$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.73 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…68b6backed Yes | 13c | 1,658$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,620$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.4 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…fb1bbacked No | 80c | 1,518$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…66efbacked Yes | 29c | 1,400$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4256…b85ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 74c | 1,074$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.26 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed Yes | 8c | 1,068$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…f522backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…cbe3backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 9c | 999.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Yes | 11c | 985.02$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 32c | 975.15$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.13 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Yes | 25c | 970$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed Yes | 10c | 800.52$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 46c | 614.28$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.82 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed Yes | 10c | 608.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 55c | 599$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.55 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Yes | 46c | 566.88$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.25 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…d8bebacked Yes | 10c | 562.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Yes | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 29c | 540.96$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 52c | 534.16$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.81 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…273ebacked Yes | 13c | 512.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f4…9cb5backed Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 495.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 47c | 429.08$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.51 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe845…a28ebacked No | 54c | 408.8$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed No | 52c | 388$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.24 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 13c | 385.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 14c | 370.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 69.6%78 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Yes | 13c | 365.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…53ebbacked Yes | 18c | 364.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Yes | 46c | 328.8$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…6a64backed Yes | 16c | 321.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 47c | 320.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 316.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 69c | 310.53$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked No | 61c | 300$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Yes | 32c | 289.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ee…c6f0backed Yes | 12c | 252.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Yes | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 41c | 232$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Yes | 7c | 230$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…6b8bbacked Yes | 45c | 225.87$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…4f5cbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…24a5backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…b68cbacked Yes | 29c | 207.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5d…63efbacked Yes | 41c | 203.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a6…d989backed Yes | 48c | 191.35$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Yes | 14c | 184.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f1…8dd4backed Yes | 15c | 180$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…ee8dbacked Yes | 10c | 177.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…ba12backed Yes | 15c | 176.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa239…599dbacked Yes | 21c | 169.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a99…7db2backed Yes | 18c | 165.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5c…8b88backed Yes | 9c | 151$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc7…dfe0backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 43c | 144.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…8732backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a80ebacked No | 71c | 140.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes | 13c | 137.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b23…f2d9backed Yes | 16c | 115.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b98…df61backed Yes | 42c | 107.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9a…df7fbacked Yes | 47c | 106.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MOUZ win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?this page
- Will Astralis win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will Aurora win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will BIG win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will Complexity win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will FURIA win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will FaZe win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will Falcons win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will G2 win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will GamerLegion win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will HEROIC win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will Liquid win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will Spirit win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?Yes won
- Will TYLOO win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will The MongolZ win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will Vitality win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will paiN win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.