TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will Falcons win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,817
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,817 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes13c16,665$2,181 inLost-$2,180.649345.2%42 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad52…1013backed Yes9c2,315$204 inLost-$203.79714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes12c1,794$215 inLost-$215.2612328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes11c1,634$172 inLost-$171.96613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked Yes19c1,021$199 inLost-$1999552.6%50 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Yes14c1,000$140 inLost-$1409946.5%46 W · 53 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes14c999.01$137 inLost-$137.4525934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Yes11c916.98$101 inLost-$101.0411044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes10c903.82$94 inLost-$93.52326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Yes13c782.16$99 inLost-$99.288237.8%31 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc330…9794backed Yes20c755.34$150 inLost-$1506229%18 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cbb…fc88backed Yes13c500$65 inLost-$658137%30 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes16c307.41$50 inLost-$5033456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes14c289.35$40 inLost-$39.8331735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes11c250$28 inLost-$27.524943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes20c239.99$49 inLost-$48.8213740.9%56 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6c7…0b56backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost-$508330.1%25 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Yes15c200$30 inLost-$305461.1%33 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed Yes12c199.99$24 inLost-$2463345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21aa…aa43backed Yes17c150$25 inLost-$25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x398a…95b7backed Yes16c122$20 inLost-$19.983237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeac9…32b9backed Yes15c95.4$14 inLost-$14.31633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes21c76$16 inLost-$16.162540%10 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes21c75$16 inLost-$15.751,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.