CS2 · resolved market
Will Spirit win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8ff6743ec76fd0b7b5b395a2db531aafebeae2c0a06c8f9ad85043b403f0eb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfeb9…b34bbacked No | 46c | 43,229$19,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,801.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yes | 55c | 20,025$11,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,011.25 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Yes | 26c | 19,374$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,379.49 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 74c | 14,198$10,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,506.17 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e71…b27ebacked No | 45c | 12,789$5,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,755.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Yes | 55c | 12,218$6,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520.68 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 58c | 11,704$6,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,879.81 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yes | 54c | 8,987$4,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,177.47 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed Yes | 56c | 7,167$3,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,173.38 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 58c | 6,812$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.67 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…8041backed Yes | 56c | 6,432$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed No | 44c | 5,700$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.99 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…50e2backed No | 48c | 4,990$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 45c | 4,310$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.09 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…1013backed Yes | 16c | 3,823$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 20c | 3,597$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886.79 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked No | 79c | 3,393$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.67 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Yes | 54c | 3,201$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.51 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes | 56c | 2,827$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.1 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 44c | 2,551$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.27 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…d956backed Yes | 23c | 2,466$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 69c | 2,359$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.22 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…1453backed Yes | 56c | 2,314$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 20c | 2,108$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.28 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…9527backed Yes | 58c | 2,063$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.92 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 56c | 2,058$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.56 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.06 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 19c | 1,978$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.35 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed Yes | 14c | 1,824$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.32 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…4b41backed Yes | 54c | 1,668$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x729d…d851backed No | 46c | 1,604$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Yes | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16f4…9cb5backed No | 54c | 1,500$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 72c | 1,477$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.86 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Yes | 56c | 1,350$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…f522backed Yes | 49c | 1,002$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked Yes | 70c | 993$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.81 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes | 30c | 918.62$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.62 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…1434backed Yes | 58c | 893.52$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.02 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c3…61ebbacked Yes | 23c | 855$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed Yes | 15c | 850$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.5 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Yes | 14c | 803.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.9 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Yes | 78c | 738.54$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.04 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…6a55backed Yes | 14c | 699.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 32c | 682$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.16 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed No | 32c | 636$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.16 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…41e9backed No | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked No | 12c | 565$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 54c | 552.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.68 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…bbd8backed Yes | 55c | 543.64$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…fb1bbacked Yes | 71c | 540$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe845…a28ebacked No | 45c | 509.3$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 52c | 428.94$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…2631backed Yes | 56c | 390.79$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 20c | 368$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…ab42backed Yes | 72c | 327.78$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…bd6fbacked Yes | 67c | 313.15$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 57c | 300.01$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0065…02f3backed Yes | 17c | 295$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…7af8backed Yes | 23c | 286.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.96 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 45c | 283.51$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.28 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…d8a1backed Yes | 16c | 281.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +314.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…01c2backed Yes | 16c | 251.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +213.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked No | 40c | 242.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 44c | 234.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 54c | 231.01$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 55c | 226.57$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 148 | 20.3%30 W · 118 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed No | 45c | 219.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd46…0545backed Yes | 56c | 212$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab5…c7a2backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5398…6f92backed Yes | 74c | 196.87$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed Yes | 32c | 195.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…a8eebacked Yes | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713c…0720backed Yes | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked No | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6649…3e3cbacked Yes | 19c | 174.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…7898backed Yes | 55c | 166.89$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f2…f06ebacked Yes | 60c | 166.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 158$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…ee8dbacked Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…bb84backed Yes | 19c | 133$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Yes | 55c | 123$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 45c | 120.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaccf…a244backed Yes | 56c | 113.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed No | 45c | 112.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e80…88afbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed Yes | 68c | 93.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Yes | 23c | 87.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…7afcbacked No | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 45c | 83.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…f4f1backed No | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa9…f915backed Yes | 15c | 78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +336.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 31c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 61c | 73.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 42c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed No | 77c | 65.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spirit win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?this page
- Will Astralis win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will Aurora win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will BIG win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will Complexity win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will FURIA win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will FaZe win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will Falcons win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will G2 win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will GamerLegion win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will HEROIC win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will Liquid win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will MOUZ win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will TYLOO win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will The MongolZ win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will Vitality win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
- Will paiN win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.