TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will Vitality win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,513
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,906

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,513 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes53c29,463$15,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,579.064257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e71…b27ebacked No47c28,747$13,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,235.711020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-50.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e44…e83fbacked Yes68c23,279$15,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,775.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes49c11,660$5,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,768.2714846.6%69 W · 79 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked No28c8,766$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,324.669345.2%42 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Yes60c7,351$4,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,420.5916349.7%81 W · 82 L-19.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Yes58c6,819$3,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,968.0311949.6%59 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe583…0691backed No55c6,510$3,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,962.07742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed Yes50c5,520$2,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,771.9415970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed Yes50c5,460$2,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.396842.6%29 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…390fbacked Yes58c5,172$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes50c4,038$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,025.481361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No40c2,674$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.46956.5%39 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf747…f687backed Yes47c2,619$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.042138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes42c2,426$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.852326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7703…34b9backed Yes55c2,340$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.582544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c65…9a3dbacked Yes60c2,063$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.677636.8%28 W · 48 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae0e…6527backed Yes59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked No50c1,983$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.516357.1%93 W · 70 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x175b…93aebacked No50c1,802$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.9814142.6%60 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked No43c1,756$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.4152837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No44c1,700$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.0125934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed No61c1,548$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.0575450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc2…31d7backed Yes60c1,300$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a3…db6ebacked Yes53c1,122$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.373633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Yes46c999.99$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46018650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c995.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.171,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d17…b1fdbacked Yes50c987.26$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.634959.2%29 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No42c960.84$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.2919155.5%106 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1eb…bb5ebacked Yes67c958.68$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.7230%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed No45c900$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c3…61ebbacked Yes59c855$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid+46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6555…eadebacked Yes60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes47c826$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.126613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Yes70c800$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56015251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed No58c760.87$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.651526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1669…22efbacked Yes56c718.64$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76c0…d8bebacked No40c718.04$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.622045%9 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e01…1453backed Yes47c689.37$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes2c660$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes59c648.18$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.036144.3%27 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed No45c600.13$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.194429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.1wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x16f4…9cb5backed Yes56c600$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes9c524$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9637841.8%158 W · 220 L-33.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad52…1013backed Yes45c513.09$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.89714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked Yes50c503.27$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc70e…7cd6backed Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Yes59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2958155.6%45 W · 36 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-16.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf584…d8dabacked Yes60c475.32$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.191675%12 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25ad…fd8cbacked Yes53c469.09$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df3…f15abacked Yes59c450$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.69580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ec…1dadbacked No51c443.83$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe732…7465backed No46c439.61$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.996643.9%29 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed Yes51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20412638.9%49 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes54c399.32$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.6344648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes53c376.15$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.962450%12 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4f7…9769backed No48c373.93$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.44922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-58.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked No40c372.1$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.612328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc164…d0e3backed Yes54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec2…cdcdbacked Yes53c370.11$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db1…e434backed Yes41c325.33$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…fa4ebacked Yes59c320$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1580…a7c9backed Yes63c316.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x825e…904fbacked No50c304.06$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0065…02f3backed Yes53c302$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.06540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+54.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13cf…4441backed Yes60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No48c299.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15681244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7314…9073backed Yes55c271.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89a8…c206backed Yes64c260.94$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1679860.2%59 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d69…1162backed Yes63c240$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.22360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28a3…79f9backed Yes58c235$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4512843%55 W · 73 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Yes56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122030%6 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cbb…fc88backed No49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1028137%30 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9024943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed No45c199.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10914332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes54c183.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes52c170.22$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.327538.7%29 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6efd…ccb0backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0e…78afbacked Yes49c159.5$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.581258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05c8…0de1backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc30c…b571backed Yes60c150.19$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e3…cf99backed Yes61c145.47$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.74520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Yes57c139$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.821,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x750b…0531backed No52c137.88$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a9…db3dbacked Yes49c136.47$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked No38c133.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5114820.3%30 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No45c132.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.121,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2063…1eedbacked No48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657659.2%45 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31a9…25a9backed No50c124.26$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d2…efeebacked Yes52c120.48$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf0…562abacked Yes54c118.05$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.63862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No59c115$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.664552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f19…3f59backed Yes60c111.67$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x765c…5485backed Yes59c108.25$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed No72c105$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.42365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed No41c105$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.853551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7514…49bebacked No48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1731758%184 W · 133 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b4…1c29backed Yes64c100.59$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.38862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes63c100.14$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d7…4b1dbacked No48c100.13$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.