TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paper Rexof Paper Rex, G2 Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,579,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,591,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,579,424 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b1d…74ccbacked G2 Esports50c1,466,796$731,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731,726.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9cf…2b62backed Paper Rex50c979,309$490,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488,654.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Paper Rex49c150,000$74,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,9001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Paper Rex50c90,990$45,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,884.8910756.1%60 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Paper Rex50c90,100$45,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,0501560%9 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Paper Rex51c22,232$11,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,782.7733942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Paper Rex52c21,111$10,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,133.284100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+125.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Paper Rex52c20,771$10,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,058.829644.8%43 W · 53 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed G2 Esports49c20,698$10,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,142.1913558.5%79 W · 56 L+11.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Paper Rex51c20,300$10,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,948.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Paper Rex51c19,488$9,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,5441145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Paper Rex51c15,000$7,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,350475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+72.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Paper Rex49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10019046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Paper Rex53c8,698$4,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,088.57933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Paper Rex51c6,375$3,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,123.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed G2 Esports50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Paper Rex53c5,660$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Paper Rex45c4,260$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,335.0868458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Paper Rex51c4,222$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Paper Rex59c3,209$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.475253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Paper Rex50c3,129$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Paper Rex52c2,636$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Paper Rex52c2,537$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.9732141.7%134 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Paper Rex49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2758100%8 W · 0 L+3.8wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Paper Rex52c2,302$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.133753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Paper Rex44c2,181$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.32055%11 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Paper Rex50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf6…9498backed Paper Rex52c1,896$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Paper Rex53c1,894$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.3414653.4%78 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Paper Rex52c1,672$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.596457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Paper Rex51c1,666$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Paper Rex50c1,570$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.913046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Paper Rex52c1,543$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.551323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.33per pick56cpaid-59.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc408…4675backed Paper Rex52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Paper Rex51c1,445$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.163148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed G2 Esports48c1,330$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.171225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Paper Rex52c1,291$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.6812835.9%46 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Paper Rex52c1,274$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.226100%6 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+149.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4b74…e8d7backed Paper Rex56c1,250$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Paper Rex52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa97…494fbacked Paper Rex74c1,143$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.79757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab0…955fbacked G2 Esports35c1,056$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.75955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick29cpaid+125.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Paper Rex53c1,000$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47528541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f13…3a2dbacked Paper Rex51c982.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Paper Rex52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.54850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Paper Rex57c860.06$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.3655152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Paper Rex50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25ad…46fcbacked Paper Rex66c750$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Paper Rex52c750$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3604353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Paper Rex54c609.99$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16f0…a28dbacked G2 Esports49c590.52$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Paper Rex50c590$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked Paper Rex52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c96…f165backed Paper Rex53c490.57$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300f…d366backed Paper Rex52c488.46$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.46825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-56.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked Paper Rex52c460.27$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.931250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Paper Rex55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.554560%27 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc70e…7cd6backed Paper Rex53c447.17$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.17650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Paper Rex52c430.13$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4610455.8%58 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked Paper Rex50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+56.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3240…9172backed Paper Rex33c396.53$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.73475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+78.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc759…51edbacked Paper Rex52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.62757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3c…a6a3backed Paper Rex52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.622540%10 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c47…5a56backed Paper Rex50c380.62$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd773…549ebacked Paper Rex53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.36955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d4…d3aabacked Paper Rex50c330$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed Paper Rex52c327$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.961346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+65.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked Paper Rex52c321.06$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.112548%12 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…8ab1backed Paper Rex52c320.38$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.78771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick72cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205c…f554backed Paper Rex52c295.62$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ed…0055backed Paper Rex52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked G2 Esports29c268.97$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed Paper Rex55c260$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc5…53c3backed Paper Rex51c249.94$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Paper Rex51c238.46$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ec…18f4backed Paper Rex51c237.49$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+80.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe83…5c7fbacked Paper Rex55c231.44$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.155538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Paper Rex52c204.02$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9316839.3%66 W · 102 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Paper Rex46c200$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf030…27bfbacked Paper Rex41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed Paper Rex55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9025347%119 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76e5…4485backed G2 Esports50c193.76$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.81540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb14c…7355backed Paper Rex52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.316735.8%24 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x406c…bdc6backed Paper Rex52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2353…45eabacked G2 Esports26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Paper Rex53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.684050%20 W · 20 L-6.2wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Paper Rex51c156.69$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Paper Rex52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7233947.8%162 W · 177 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf36…94e8backed Paper Rex52c134$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe936…8944backed Paper Rex50c133$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed G2 Esports49c132.65$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6517332.4%56 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebcb…3e71backed Paper Rex52c132$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked Paper Rex32c130$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.924732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8548…e4c1backed Paper Rex56c129.9$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.782661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+484.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x826c…e801backed Paper Rex52c119.23$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6466…4633backed Paper Rex63c112.73$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Paper Rex52c111.15$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3522955%126 W · 103 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9e…94cfbacked Paper Rex50c111.1$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Paper Rex78c101.28$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.281258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f3…e279backed Paper Rex50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.