TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7f3…e279

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
166
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT5639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jalen Brunson be on the cover of NBA 2K27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$56.3
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.1
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Derrick White: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 10.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge”?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Over $6M committed to the Squid public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Over $5.5M committed to the Squid public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$285
Bitway FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$421
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+185.7%+$325
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+106.3%+$670
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+52.7%+$20.5
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$50
HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$82
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-40.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
UFC — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$41.5
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.23
Will Trump say "Fake News" during UFC 250?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.4
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Michael Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$109.8
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+56.3%+$18
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$150
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$54.4
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+69.5%+$16.4
UFC Fight Night: Dalby vs. Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Izagakhmaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+80.2%+$89
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.3%+$87.83
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.77
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32.99
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.65
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Skillcamp Esport (+1.5)backed Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$27.28
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$27.65
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.59
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.94
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$58.41
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$37.64
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.32
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Augsburg: Marvin Moeller vs Thomas Faurelbacked Marvin Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.6
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Roehampton: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Peter Makkbacked Peter Makk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
Prague 2: Jakub Filip vs Nick Hardtbacked Jakub Filip · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Cincinnati Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Gabriela Rusebacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17.82
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Mark Lajalbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: PRX vs Team Heretics backed PRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esportsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+299.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+299.5%+$149.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$44.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.