Tennis · resolved market
Prague 2: Jakub Filip vs Nick Hardt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaffbf15695ae964a08d72eb7a9fd1fc34ef9940aca5bfb8da1b3aa54e7732bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nick Hardtof Jakub Filip, Nick Hardt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Jakub Filip | 0c | 16,337$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jakub Filip | 14c | 13,554$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.29 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb6…8b20backed Jakub Filip | 4c | 5,051$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Jakub Filip | 4c | 2,949$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Jakub Filip | 4c | 2,528$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.57 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Jakub Filip | 10c | 2,019$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Jakub Filip | 19c | 995.2$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.09 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…7137backed Jakub Filip | 13c | 909.23$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Jakub Filip | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 32.9%51 W · 104 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jakub Filip | 20c | 809.22$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.84 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Jakub Filip | 7c | 704.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Jakub Filip | 21c | 695$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 408 | 36.8%150 W · 258 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jakub Filip | 20c | 582.8$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nick Hardt | 79c | 576.52$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…63a5backed Nick Hardt | 79c | 423.64$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b2…14c2backed Nick Hardt | 78c | 298.32$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…40bcbacked Nick Hardt | 79c | 278.11$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nick Hardt | 78c | 270.18$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Jakub Filip | 7c | 239.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Nick Hardt | 79c | 209.4$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Jakub Filip | 8c | 194.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Jakub Filip | 21c | 187.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Jakub Filip | 18c | 152.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Jakub Filip | 22c | 142.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Jakub Filip | 18c | 140.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Jakub Filip | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jakub Filip | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…e279backed Jakub Filip | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Nick Hardt | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe780…055bbacked Jakub Filip | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…51edbacked Nick Hardt | 79c | 93.27$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…60e4backed Jakub Filip | 16c | 84.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Jakub Filip | 20c | 78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Jakub Filip | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Nick Hardt | 78c | 72.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nick Hardt | 78c | 71.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Nick Hardt | 79c | 69.44$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Nick Hardt | 79c | 60.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Jakub Filip | 21c | 59.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Nick Hardt | 78c | 54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Nick Hardt | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Nick Hardt | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.