TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Galionsof Galions, Karmine Corp Blue
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,579 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52b7…0aa1backed Karmine Corp Blue14c7,204$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.871,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed Karmine Corp Blue13c3,333$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.284617.4%8 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Galions77c2,764$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.641,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Galions75c2,600$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64089050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Galions74c2,484$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.8420146.8%94 W · 107 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Karmine Corp Blue26c1,991$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.661,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Galions78c1,936$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.362,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Karmine Corp Blue4c1,924$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.971,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d80…e49fbacked Karmine Corp Blue20c1,858$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.43528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Galions75c1,500$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.421,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Galions76c1,495$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.7163944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Karmine Corp Blue27c1,447$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.0425433.5%85 W · 169 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Galions73c1,275$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.3531953%169 W · 150 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Karmine Corp Blue27c1,185$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32090537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Karmine Corp Blue26c947.98$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4736034.4%124 W · 236 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a02…576dbacked Karmine Corp Blue26c799.98$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.093342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Karmine Corp Blue25c788.31$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0854529.7%162 W · 383 L-34.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Karmine Corp Blue26c730.77$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19066947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked Galions74c679.98$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.7925268.3%172 W · 80 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x657a…d1f4backed Karmine Corp Blue22c664.46$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.182441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x956d…b750backed Karmine Corp Blue27c632.81$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.719453.2%50 W · 44 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Karmine Corp Blue11c625.91$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.831,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Karmine Corp Blue24c600$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14410634.9%37 W · 69 L-14.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Karmine Corp Blue23c600$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13889347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Galions77c555.47$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.822,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Karmine Corp Blue9c516.1$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.181,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Karmine Corp Blue24c480$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.845338%172 W · 281 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Karmine Corp Blue23c472.44$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2711346.9%53 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ff…3506backed Karmine Corp Blue19c412.18$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7833738%128 W · 209 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Galions74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4146560%279 W · 186 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf402…4c5abacked Galions75c405.06$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2615159.6%90 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Karmine Corp Blue25c395$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7520552.7%108 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Galions75c387$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7519758.9%116 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked Karmine Corp Blue25c383.66$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.145642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Galions77c371$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.481,21839.9%486 W · 732 L-65.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Karmine Corp Blue25c364.77$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4462451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a3…5cabbacked Karmine Corp Blue28c344.21$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Karmine Corp Blue23c329.22$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7235443.2%153 W · 201 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Karmine Corp Blue20c280.87$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9716339.3%64 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp Blue8c272.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.781,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Galions72c270.67$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5835435.3%125 W · 229 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Karmine Corp Blue26c270$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.21,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed Karmine Corp Blue24c251.58$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6151247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Karmine Corp Blue23c249.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4129447.6%140 W · 154 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Karmine Corp Blue25c249.16$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.291,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b1…6322backed Galions78c240$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.65349.1%26 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.15per pick64cpaid-25%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Karmine Corp Blue12c230.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.111,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Galions78c195.98$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0735642.4%151 W · 205 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Galions76c192$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.086653%35 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Karmine Corp Blue25c177.77$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.448259.8%49 W · 33 L+11.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Karmine Corp Blue19c161.96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.422,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2888…f1a4backed Karmine Corp Blue25c161.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6553932.5%175 W · 364 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Galions74c151.97$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3666058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Galions76c149$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7611657.8%67 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Karmine Corp Blue24c122.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8639951.1%204 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Galions74c114.61$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.827356.8%155 W · 118 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Karmine Corp Blue13c111.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.552,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0aa…96f5backed Galions76c101.32$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.324969.4%34 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Galions75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2515660.9%95 W · 61 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Galions76c96.95$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b39…8b50backed Karmine Corp Blue27c85.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2344850.7%227 W · 221 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Karmine Corp Blue24c82.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.927037.1%26 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Galions75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2338…27f6backed Karmine Corp Blue26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Karmine Corp Blue26c71.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5344745.2%202 W · 245 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Galions76c71$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0411357.5%65 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f3…e279backed Galions73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Karmine Corp Blue25c66.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.33050%15 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5428…ee81backed Karmine Corp Blue25c64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb0…16e6backed Karmine Corp Blue25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Karmine Corp Blue26c57.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.933336.4%12 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b38…1642backed Karmine Corp Blue25c52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Karmine Corp Blue23c51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7354934.8%191 W · 358 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Karmine Corp Blue25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.513242.4%56 W · 76 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d2…510abacked Galions75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Karmine Corp Blue25c49.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.561,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Galions76c49$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7618560.5%112 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Karmine Corp Blue23c48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0458043.3%251 W · 329 L-47.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d86…ad9bbacked Karmine Corp Blue25c46.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.644654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Karmine Corp Blue25c46.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6423842.9%102 W · 136 L-21.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed Galions76c44.57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.741469.3%287 W · 127 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa73a…27d9backed Karmine Corp Blue25c42.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5339652%206 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked Karmine Corp Blue25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,05539.6%418 W · 637 L-74.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Galions73c38.42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4318051.1%92 W · 88 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6611…dc91backed Galions76c37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Galions73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2564556.6%365 W · 280 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5926…e20abacked Galions75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.52454.2%13 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89f1…e1d9backed Galions76c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Galions77c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.978641.9%36 W · 50 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c09…5badbacked Galions78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6412261.5%75 W · 47 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a75…006ebacked Galions76c25.53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.131752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d89…2b45backed Galions78c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.284365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9560…b831backed Galions74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.723961.5%24 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Galions76c20.96$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0313046.2%60 W · 70 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Galions76c20.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8434357.1%196 W · 147 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc73a…8a83backed Galions75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd16b…36c0backed Galions76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7447854%258 W · 220 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Galions80c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8546436.4%169 W · 295 L-24.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Galions75c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.538257.9%221 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5872…8924backed Galions77c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.