Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c0894c5ae8c53335b08b0c9f5c3853af69c9e94328fbc7d4d58d011b0c97b28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 60c | 1,918$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.12 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 60c | 1,068$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.92 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 40c | 679.7$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.88 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 60c | 599.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 903 | 50.8%459 W · 444 L | +17.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Over | 41c | 499.18$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.66 | 637 | 51.2%326 W · 311 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 41c | 392.32$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.48 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 58c | 273$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 60c | 256.75$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.61 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 40c | 150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 471 | 36.9%174 W · 297 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7636…2acbbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 33c | 77.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1,143 | 38.8%444 W · 699 L | -46.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 39c | 52.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…6791backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x803e…7331backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…fa08backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…6fe4backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…3880backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…cb72backed Over | 40c | 49.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 40c | 48.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ff…7d0dbacked Over | 40c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…9c36backed Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 58c | 28.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d89…2b45backed Under | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…77e3backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a75…006ebacked Under | 61c | 20.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Under | 61c | 18.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 139 | 63.3%88 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…a00dbacked Under | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5)Galions won
- LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.