TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a75…006e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Spartans EU (BO3) - HLL Playoffsbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$8.21
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.66
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.48
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$12.25
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+123%+$15.38
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Conviction - Game 2 Winnerbacked Conviction · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Conviction - Game 1 Winnerbacked Conviction · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Conviction · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.95
LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.13
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.09
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+118.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$12.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$13.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LV vs. HOU: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$7.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.