TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$585,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$579,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $585,056 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes72c270,863$195,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,260.522070%14 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+44.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes71c117,469$82,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,610.39649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No28c41,242$11,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,556.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No30c33,922$10,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,039.961,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No29c33,500$9,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,56526345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No31c27,411$8,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,423.9412951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No29c22,222$6,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,444.381926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16e5…c50abacked No27c20,550$5,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,548.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No28c18,609$5,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,240.8399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No32c17,500$5,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,649.968845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes67c17,195$11,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,688.021435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No28c16,536$4,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,667.4997146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No27c16,529$4,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,462.896250%31 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No34c16,382$5,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,558.9712654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No28c15,602$4,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,368.71,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No29c15,353$4,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,485.9120043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No30c13,939$4,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,192.0171443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No30c12,373$3,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,694.533,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No33c10,000$3,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2754751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed No27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,700825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-50.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No30c8,590$2,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,577.096349.2%31 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda68…6b7bbacked No29c7,881$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No29c7,244$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.761471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No21c5,824$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.831,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No28c5,394$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.24348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed No27c4,975$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.224245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes71c4,552$3,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.0832848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No27c4,166$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.8268550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No27c4,166$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.8291553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No28c4,000$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12514652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked No32c3,563$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.2735550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes69c3,348$2,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.8823858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No29c2,966$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.3372850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No31c2,895$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.353046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No33c2,589$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.8252639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No28c2,183$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.2270249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No28c2,036$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.6537649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No31c2,003$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.798032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No28c1,925$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.855154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b03…b127backed No12c1,633$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002025%5 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed No30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked No21c1,440$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.782326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x573a…dcbfbacked No1c1,250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No33c1,250$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.4917740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No32c1,164$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.5636247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No35c1,050$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+271.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes68c1,050$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.659854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2704334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34014062.1%87 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No27c926$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0213948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No29c740.74$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2132147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No20c590$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8822946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6509…2dc5backed Yes72c523.7$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.675100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Yes71c510$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1482540%10 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1455056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed No33c485$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.053040%12 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes71c442.01$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.182441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed No30c429.51$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.853844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No12c382.69$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.325752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x91c7…808fbacked Yes75c371.99$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No30c346$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2218456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No28c345.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.591,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes68c303.96$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.273435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No28c300.02$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.761,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No30c288.27$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2380358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed No28c271.18$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.141127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No18c252$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8154949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked No29c250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.58447.6%40 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No29c224.1$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9912146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No17c213.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0917753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0052…30bcbacked Yes72c205.42$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No32c200$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6317751.4%91 W · 86 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No30c197.8$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3439435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No29c189.62$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9910450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No30c186$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.610257.8%59 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked No31c182$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.731346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No30c170.89$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1814957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No30c166.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.497256.9%41 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed No30c162.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.754050%20 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.526450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No31c145.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.074158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No8c143.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2245140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa68d…eab5backed No28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed No30c126.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.35933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked No30c120.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.247339.7%29 W · 44 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes80c119.9$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9819641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked No29c114.96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.984942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No33c111.76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.172055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68aa…0f92backed Yes72c102.78$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed No29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187f…a85bbacked No30c82.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed No31c78.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.122138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.426847.1%32 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed No30c68.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.622142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No29c68.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.895525.5%14 W · 41 L-9.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes73c65.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.756352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Yes63c65.04$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.066163.9%39 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No29c64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5627047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.