Mls · resolved market
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e69ac0de798b86a5f72a42b412ea4293890b0e3ebd44cefbdf6f5fc48be9a28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 2c | 4,519$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.77 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 5c | 2,419$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Yes | 13c | 2,308$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…00f1backed Yes | 16c | 2,055$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 12c | 1,519$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.29 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 14c | 1,250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 1,153$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.44 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 7c | 1,100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 11c | 1,071$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 10c | 993.12$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 7c | 953.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 8c | 484.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 5c | 429.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 4c | 424.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 15c | 411.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 3c | 341.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Yes | 15c | 242.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x295a…2ff2backed Yes | 17c | 210$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 13c | 196$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…97f8backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…30b1backed Yes | 13c | 110.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 12c | 95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Yes | 13c | 92.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee6…b119backed Yes | 12c | 88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 16c | 74.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Dallas win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?No won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.