Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikori
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x810976417d62591525dd0c34d0d8c828e96cbab299ef36e99f32a7bcb4ce2ea0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kei Nishikoriof Sebastian Ofner, Kei Nishikori
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $856,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,025,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $856,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14c7…9ccfbacked Kei Nishikori | 73c | 148,894$108,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,653.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 44,468$17,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,866.87 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb1…4dbebacked Kei Nishikori | 74c | 38,073$28,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,764.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kei Nishikori | 73c | 34,729$25,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,390.86 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Sebastian Ofner | 52c | 24,074$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d2…776ebacked Kei Nishikori | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,607.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Sebastian Ofner | 50c | 17,514$8,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,757 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Sebastian Ofner | 50c | 17,391$8,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,632.52 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked Kei Nishikori | 72c | 16,600$11,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,696 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Kei Nishikori | 51c | 16,552$8,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,110.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Kei Nishikori | 69c | 15,492$10,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800.86 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kei Nishikori | 67c | 10,963$7,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,665.74 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 5c | 8,990$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.7 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kei Nishikori | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sebastian Ofner | 49c | 6,584$3,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,226.13 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Kei Nishikori | 52c | 6,557$3,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.17 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Sebastian Ofner | 38c | 6,535$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…2e9fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 48c | 6,528$3,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Sebastian Ofner | 45c | 6,271$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sebastian Ofner | 28c | 5,646$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.96 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Kei Nishikori | 78c | 5,631$4,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.58 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sebastian Ofner | 49c | 4,890$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.15 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 38c | 4,505$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.87 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Kei Nishikori | 72c | 4,150$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab7…a870backed Sebastian Ofner | 48c | 4,108$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Sebastian Ofner | 49c | 4,081$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.69 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Sebastian Ofner | 49c | 4,000$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.99 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9217…ce22backed Kei Nishikori | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kei Nishikori | 78c | 3,805$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.48 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Kei Nishikori | 75c | 3,230$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Kei Nishikori | 61c | 2,771$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.67 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Kei Nishikori | 70c | 2,747$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.07 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 41c | 2,683$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Kei Nishikori | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…20e7backed Kei Nishikori | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kei Nishikori | 58c | 2,494$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.07 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…1bfabacked Sebastian Ofner | 47c | 2,447$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sebastian Ofner | 44c | 2,430$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.36 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc144…c809backed Sebastian Ofner | 29c | 2,414$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…ee2bbacked Kei Nishikori | 77c | 2,408$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.05 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Kei Nishikori | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.94 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…3facbacked Kei Nishikori | 52c | 2,233$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.94 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Sebastian Ofner | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…cc2ebacked Kei Nishikori | 59c | 2,062$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.31 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf67…1db4backed Kei Nishikori | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Kei Nishikori | 67c | 1,878$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.08 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 47c | 1,839$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.57 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 1,833$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Sebastian Ofner | 41c | 1,513$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.65 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Kei Nishikori | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Kei Nishikori | 50c | 1,483$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.21 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Kei Nishikori | 57c | 1,321$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.89 | 306 | 47.7%146 W · 160 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a1…bf4bbacked Sebastian Ofner | 30c | 1,237$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.58 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Kei Nishikori | 54c | 1,197$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.57 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sebastian Ofner | 43c | 1,150$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.38 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Sebastian Ofner | 44c | 1,103$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.38 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…14ffbacked Kei Nishikori | 55c | 1,063$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.3 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Kei Nishikori | 51c | 1,035$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.48 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Sebastian Ofner | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Sebastian Ofner | 46c | 999.95$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.98 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kei Nishikori | 50c | 942.38$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.06 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Kei Nishikori | 51c | 927.8$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.62 | 300 | 56.7%170 W · 130 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked Sebastian Ofner | 49c | 840.01$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.22 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Kei Nishikori | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Kei Nishikori | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b46…e199backed Kei Nishikori | 72c | 743.1$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kei Nishikori | 67c | 735.09$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.13 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…c4adbacked Sebastian Ofner | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…e738backed Sebastian Ofner | 34c | 681.47$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.85 | 118 | 61%72 W · 46 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Sebastian Ofner | 47c | 665.25$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.68 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 49c | 644.06$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.61 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Sebastian Ofner | 48c | 639.32$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.23 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f90backed Sebastian Ofner | 53c | 637.36$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.8 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafef…f50ebacked Kei Nishikori | 70c | 610$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sebastian Ofner | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…497dbacked Kei Nishikori | 53c | 561.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Kei Nishikori | 50c | 555$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…692abacked Sebastian Ofner | 36c | 551.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Kei Nishikori | 48c | 536.96$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.22 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Kei Nishikori | 57c | 505$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.15 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Sebastian Ofner | 34c | 504.41$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.42 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Kei Nishikori | 50c | 496.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.86 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Kei Nishikori | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Kei Nishikori | 73c | 460.33$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Sebastian Ofner | 52c | 442.31$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf44…3a7ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 48c | 420.92$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Sebastian Ofner | 30c | 420.36$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.78 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Kei Nishikori | 69c | 420$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…6be1backed Sebastian Ofner | 47c | 414.02$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.59 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Sebastian Ofner | 41c | 409.03$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.13 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kei Nishikori | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…9fb9backed Kei Nishikori | 72c | 390$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…e889backed Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 387.18$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.87 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Kei Nishikori | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sebastian Ofner | 53c | 379.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Kei Nishikori | 78c | 377.44$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…8ef4backed Kei Nishikori | 52c | 377.35$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Sebastian Ofner | 23c | 360$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 476 | 49.6%236 W · 240 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 22c | 350$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 854 | 49.6%424 W · 430 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Sebastian Ofner | 47c | 309.19$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Kei Nishikorithis page
- Game Spread: Nishikori (-1.5) vs Ofner (+1.5)Nishikori won
- Set Handicap: Ofner (-1.5) vs Nishikori (+1.5)Nishikori won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.