Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x802eb94d437673afda590a33278fe0cb5c29744b3adb8713744d37c2479713ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Resilienceof Team Resilience, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Resilience | 51c | 39,373$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,372.55 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…9e36backed OG | 49c | 28,402$14,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,022.43 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d36…f787backed Team Resilience | 48c | 22,377$10,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,627.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Resilience | 51c | 20,502$10,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,046.13 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked OG | 49c | 19,017$9,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,318.32 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed OG | 50c | 16,112$8,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,014.21 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked OG | 54c | 14,150$7,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,577.3 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed OG | 52c | 13,837$7,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,236.96 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked OG | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.98 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked OG | 3c | 5,250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…b7dabacked OG | 49c | 5,140$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Team Resilience | 49c | 4,346$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.79 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked OG | 30c | 4,138$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.78 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…789bbacked OG | 51c | 3,120$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.17 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…c012backed Team Resilience | 53c | 2,828$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.01 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked OG | 30c | 2,751$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.43 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Team Resilience | 70c | 2,708$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Team Resilience | 70c | 2,383$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.43 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked OG | 50c | 2,368$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.03 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Resilience | 72c | 2,102$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.34 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed OG | 52c | 2,096$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.93 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed OG | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Team Resilience | 48c | 1,727$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.82 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…0765backed Team Resilience | 75c | 1,613$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked OG | 25c | 1,557$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.13 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked OG | 29c | 1,376$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.46 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OG | 51c | 1,346$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.89 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed OG | 51c | 1,242$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.87 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Team Resilience | 48c | 1,240$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.91 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked OG | 52c | 1,115$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.73 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed OG | 7c | 1,075$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…d8d6backed OG | 16c | 1,050$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed OG | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Team Resilience | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed OG | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked OG | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…745bbacked Team Resilience | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Team Resilience | 71c | 850$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Team Resilience | 70c | 827.81$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.34 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9c…91e9backed Team Resilience | 48c | 796$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +133.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Team Resilience | 48c | 787.05$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.28 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Resilience | 70c | 714.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.57 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Team Resilience | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…3506backed Team Resilience | 43c | 711.79$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.72 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Team Resilience | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed OG | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed OG | 51c | 698$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.98 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked OG | 26c | 650$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed OG | 31c | 598.02$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.15 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed OG | 49c | 593.91$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.02 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c8…2313backed Team Resilience | 51c | 582.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.78 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…5deabacked OG | 18c | 567.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853a…c128backed Team Resilience | 70c | 539.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Resilience | 51c | 534$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.41 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed OG | 33c | 518.71$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.66 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Team Resilience | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked OG | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked OG | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Team Resilience | 62c | 499.53$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.82 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked OG | 30c | 488.04$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.3 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Team Resilience | 50c | 477.82$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.26 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Team Resilience | 62c | 462.09$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.45 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Team Resilience | 70c | 453.99$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.57 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed OG | 51c | 444.96$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.68 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…c1d4backed Team Resilience | 48c | 413.33$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed OG | 53c | 411.32$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…fd05backed Team Resilience | 50c | 400.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Resilience | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Team Resilience | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Team Resilience | 48c | 387$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.24 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed OG | 51c | 386.73$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.86 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…e620backed OG | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed OG | 27c | 370.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.04 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa5…cd80backed Team Resilience | 70c | 343.39$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Team Resilience | 44c | 340$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.55 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Resilience | 66c | 312.22$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked OG | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Resilience | 71c | 286.15$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed OG | 28c | 272.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked OG | 6c | 272.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked OG | 34c | 271.01$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Team Resilience | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked OG | 52c | 256$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.12 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a471backed OG | 41c | 252.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Team Resilience | 47c | 251.2$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.73 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed OG | 50c | 241$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Resilience | 49c | 233$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.83 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…07e8backed Team Resilience | 48c | 222.92$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…490dbacked Team Resilience | 74c | 218.13$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Resilience | 43c | 217$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked Team Resilience | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Team Resilience | 49c | 208.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.16 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d6…7f51backed Team Resilience | 51c | 206.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Team Resilience | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…9b1bbacked Team Resilience | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…20ecbacked OG | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed OG | 35c | 197.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f6…75c7backed Team Resilience | 65c | 196.6$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Team Resilience | 51c | 194.41$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.55 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed OG | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG - Game 1 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs OG - Game 2 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)Team Resilience won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.