TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75f6…75c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Dota2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT7261.1%44 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,541Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,540.56
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,073Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,506.51
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$926Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$325.86
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32.51
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+400%+$400
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,355Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,058.18
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$122.76
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.79
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$38
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$90.25
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+48%+$72.02
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$58.33
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.13
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+58%+$29.02
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$2,119.54
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$43.27
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+162.3%+$72.66
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.05
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,857Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,857.18
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$591.54
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.93
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+55%+$27.52
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,210
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.96
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$8.27
All 21 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$299.33
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+203%+$203.03
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$138.9
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+107.9%+$107.85
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.96
Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.25
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.99
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$53.85
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$50.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$318
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+39.5%+$19.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,633Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$939.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$42.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navonebacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.