TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Vici Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$542,954
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$660,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $542,954 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming39c222,187$86,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,949.581,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Nigma Galaxy72c48,092$34,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,628.1371143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53fb…7c30backed Nigma Galaxy50c42,002$21,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,001.092138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Nigma Galaxy51c31,277$15,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,288.6936041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked Nigma Galaxy74c30,000$22,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.997236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Vici Gaming48c20,943$10,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,033.3423435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ff1…2dd7backed Nigma Galaxy51c19,950$10,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,775.493348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Nigma Galaxy60c14,870$8,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,998.4935850.6%181 W · 177 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8495…550ebacked Nigma Galaxy53c11,303$5,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,326.239052.2%47 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Vici Gaming41c10,000$4,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,135.855339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed Nigma Galaxy74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6001650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Nigma Galaxy51c8,999$4,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,409.5125549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bd0…c890backed Vici Gaming45c8,487$3,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,792.2620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a81…0e8fbacked Nigma Galaxy74c8,200$6,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1324148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fee…30b3backed Vici Gaming45c6,389$2,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Nigma Galaxy53c5,560$2,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,613.351540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked Nigma Galaxy74c5,440$4,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.534360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Nigma Galaxy75c5,298$3,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.851758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Vici Gaming3c5,250$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808223.2%19 W · 63 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Nigma Galaxy51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45041944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8d9…753abacked Nigma Galaxy74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3002766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed Vici Gaming27c4,556$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.161040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d6f…789bbacked Nigma Galaxy55c4,415$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.534742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Nigma Galaxy53c4,400$2,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0682157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Nigma Galaxy56c4,249$2,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.1423736.7%87 W · 150 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nigma Galaxy52c4,174$2,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.9596645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Nigma Galaxy73c4,144$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.881163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Nigma Galaxy52c3,657$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.99875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed Vici Gaming26c3,359$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.46841.2%28 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Nigma Galaxy58c3,006$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.568649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Nigma Galaxy74c2,709$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.359850%49 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy59c2,671$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08889749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Nigma Galaxy53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.0529348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Nigma Galaxy76c2,500$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.38550.6%43 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Nigma Galaxy50c2,422$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.164744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Vici Gaming25c2,391$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.814751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…107bbacked Nigma Galaxy52c2,159$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.62887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick53cpaid+66.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Nigma Galaxy74c2,157$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.443452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6129…0807backed Nigma Galaxy51c2,099$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.413641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xede1…7dd1backed Vici Gaming43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8602317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3be…12ccbacked Nigma Galaxy55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9911142.3%47 W · 64 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75e1…a8a1backed Vici Gaming33c1,947$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.122330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-47.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x363c…9b0ebacked Vici Gaming42c1,906$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.2212148.8%59 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Nigma Galaxy52c1,830$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.8456945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Vici Gaming50c1,824$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.693546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd99b…50bebacked Vici Gaming48c1,756$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.747142.3%30 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Vici Gaming48c1,717$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.1332548.9%159 W · 166 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d0…1a68backed Vici Gaming4c1,700$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60238.7%2 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-66.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Vici Gaming47c1,665$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.698536.5%31 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Nigma Galaxy57c1,660$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.2689238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nigma Galaxy75c1,628$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.021,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Nigma Galaxy54c1,582$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.916553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy48c1,516$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.281,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed Vici Gaming34c1,458$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009640.6%39 W · 57 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming24c1,400$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.171,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Vici Gaming8c1,379$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.317733.8%26 W · 51 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Nigma Galaxy58c1,255$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.071,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Nigma Galaxy56c1,167$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.33785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Nigma Galaxy55c1,151$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.274454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Vici Gaming29c1,121$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9941455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6df4…0b7abacked Nigma Galaxy57c1,115$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.456851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Vici Gaming48c1,110$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53422260.4%134 W · 88 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3452…1ba0backed Nigma Galaxy51c1,100$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53918351.9%95 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c31…02d3backed Vici Gaming48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5281225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x284f…31efbacked Vici Gaming22c1,100$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.956328.6%18 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nigma Galaxy52c1,040$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.022250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7100…c12abacked Nigma Galaxy77c1,033$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.762045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789f…20ecbacked Nigma Galaxy54c942.38$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.382352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nigma Galaxy52c919.19$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.2145139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Nigma Galaxy52c895.25$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.7250353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75c5…5bbabacked Vici Gaming28c891.66$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.6721941.1%90 W · 129 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf6f…9f0abacked Nigma Galaxy49c889.07$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.4316139.8%64 W · 97 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…f531backed Nigma Galaxy77c884.55$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03d6…7f51backed Vici Gaming49c884.11$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4335947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vici Gaming48c858.67$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.1619847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Vici Gaming26c829$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.5430336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Nigma Galaxy52c800$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.3317040.6%69 W · 101 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Vici Gaming46c799.99$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36818437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7c8…e573backed Nigma Galaxy72c699.14$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.141643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed Nigma Galaxy56c687.26$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.7712335.8%44 W · 79 L-13.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Vici Gaming26c677.4$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.1222543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Vici Gaming46c671$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.1311649.1%57 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ad0…6187backed Nigma Galaxy53c645.51$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.844546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8466…c1b3backed Vici Gaming21c630.66$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-56.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Nigma Galaxy54c619.64$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.2491356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f18…1ae2backed Nigma Galaxy52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2884355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Nigma Galaxy53c598.95$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.8629243.2%126 W · 166 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Nigma Galaxy74c595$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.724636.6%90 W · 156 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Nigma Galaxy51c591.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.967349.3%36 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming42c583.14$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.842,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Vici Gaming22c577.44$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0437018.9%70 W · 300 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed Nigma Galaxy54c571.71$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.993740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Nigma Galaxy51c571.58$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.4958943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked Vici Gaming54c554.4$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010637.7%40 W · 66 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Nigma Galaxy55c552.73$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.7979341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nigma Galaxy54c540.99$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.2538142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4fa…bea1backed Vici Gaming48c536.99$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.35850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2d…c592backed Vici Gaming19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed Vici Gaming34c520$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17818452.2%96 W · 88 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacc9…7881backed Nigma Galaxy56c511.72$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.342445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.