Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8839d6dee4c7c63dfeaca4794310905254738d9989f935109b727a824e19efd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,330,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,281,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,330,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 37c | 151,575$55,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,624.37 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…3a9bbacked No | 49c | 108,522$53,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,223 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 12c | 87,973$10,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,339.15 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 58c | 81,659$47,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,414.81 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 56c | 71,187$39,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,626.08 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 35c | 52,636$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,235.98 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…d4dcbacked Yes | 14c | 40,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,399.99 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 44c | 37,461$16,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,819.39 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…6ed6backed Yes | 65c | 34,849$22,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,036.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 54c | 32,500$17,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,109.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 19c | 28,305$5,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,957.33 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 39c | 26,323$10,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,967.54 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 44c | 24,244$10,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,613.12 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 34c | 23,916$8,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,850.65 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.89 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…a9a6backed No | 23c | 17,405$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked No | 29c | 16,287$4,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,653.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…657fbacked Yes | 77c | 15,221$11,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.77 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 71c | 14,493$10,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,174.61 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…ec17backed Yes | 30c | 14,265$4,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,984.55 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…b3c0backed Yes | 60c | 12,455$7,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,936.05 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7586backed No | 48c | 12,385$5,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,946.48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…da78backed Yes | 39c | 11,566$4,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,062.25 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d8…bad0backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed No | 68c | 10,000$6,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,827.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed No | 45c | 8,955$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 64c | 8,000$5,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.44 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…a25ebacked Yes | 56c | 6,979$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 32c | 6,902$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,676.79 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Yes | 75c | 6,647$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 33c | 6,328$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.56 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ea…60c2backed Yes | 50c | 5,984$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.89 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…85aabacked Yes | 65c | 5,682$3,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 28c | 5,572$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.56 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…77ddbacked Yes | 13c | 5,361$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,667.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…e2c0backed Yes | 61c | 5,300$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.33 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 74c | 5,142$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 60c | 4,720$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.21 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…6a7cbacked Yes | 13c | 4,616$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,993.23 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3a26backed No | 51c | 4,580$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.56 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…f652backed No | 32c | 4,576$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.1 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…784ebacked Yes | 14c | 4,466$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,861.46 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07a…98f7backed Yes | 18c | 4,406$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.91 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 61c | 4,343$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.44 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes | 11c | 4,290$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,805.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 8cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 14c | 4,221$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651.27 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…0a62backed Yes | 76c | 4,190$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…d7c0backed Yes | 54c | 4,154$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 38c | 4,008$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.99 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…03f9backed Yes | 13c | 3,464$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd0…64e9backed Yes | 16c | 3,368$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.83 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked No | 51c | 3,103$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…ed32backed Yes | 65c | 3,100$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ca…0138backed No | 10c | 2,800$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked Yes | 36c | 2,775$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.44 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df0…2bfcbacked No | 12c | 2,700$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.2 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 58c | 2,630$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.63 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…8aa4backed Yes | 73c | 2,300$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.68 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…a799backed No | 32c | 2,300$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 68c | 2,273$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…7457backed Yes | 47c | 2,190$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…bcc7backed Yes | 58c | 2,180$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…0644backed No | 17c | 2,085$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.93 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed No | 51c | 2,024$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed No | 79c | 2,011$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec1…ddfebacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Yes | 53c | 1,958$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…f2f7backed Yes | 72c | 1,795$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 16c | 1,766$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.33 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 68c | 1,700$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.45 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…a7afbacked Yes | 52c | 1,649$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.42 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked No | 1c | 1,568$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…b593backed No | 74c | 1,500$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 37c | 1,478$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.04 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…2370backed Yes | 59c | 1,443$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.24 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182a…b1febacked Yes | 62c | 1,403$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a8…c987backed Yes | 59c | 1,372$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…2955backed Yes | 15c | 1,319$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +138.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 19c | 1,289$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.44 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,266$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.94 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…3012backed No | 80c | 1,199$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa59e…fc8abacked No | 33c | 1,191$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…6f16backed Yes | 25c | 1,178$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.71 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…8e82backed Yes | 12c | 1,130$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.3 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 49c | 1,125$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.44 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…4eccbacked No | 73c | 1,117$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 19c | 1,097$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,080$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.95 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…7069backed No | 38c | 1,055$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb37…fbacbacked Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.73 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d73…f538backed Yes | 72c | 997.22$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed No | 32c | 921.88$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…c004backed Yes | 12c | 892.44$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.76 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 42c | 850.14$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.65 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed No | 32c | 833.33$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.07 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 66c | 829.32$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…795abacked Yes | 53c | 809.2$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.98 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4300 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4700 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.