Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcadb9336e13c25e8cb854c81d72c6304473a7ba906c8bf5299b48c2eda302bb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $641,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $602,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $641,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 25c | 48,236$12,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,274 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 6c | 45,247$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.59 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 19c | 19,583$3,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.55 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3da…3d6abacked Yes | 2c | 18,999$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.95 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 5c | 17,102$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.81 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 9c | 16,700$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.68 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…ec17backed No | 27c | 16,492$4,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,964.13 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 11c | 14,976$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.87 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 6c | 14,285$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.5 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 8c | 12,805$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…9574backed Yes | 67c | 11,260$7,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,599.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 6c | 10,532$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…438abacked Yes | 6c | 10,010$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.44 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 39c | 8,068$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.6 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 7,376$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.86 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…7c1fbacked No | 32c | 6,632$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,531.88 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked No | 76c | 6,199$4,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.66 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 2c | 5,784$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7694…2b66backed No | 73c | 5,754$4,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.33 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 4,835$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 7c | 3,908$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.46 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…da78backed No | 78c | 3,685$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.46 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked No | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.43 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…73d7backed No | 40c | 2,610$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 74c | 2,413$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.31 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,288$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.86 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 79c | 1,967$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.73 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21b…37edbacked Yes | 10c | 1,844$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.54 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,526$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 61c | 1,500$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 49c | 1,490$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.65 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 33c | 1,450$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.5 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 13c | 1,260$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.18 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed No | 49c | 1,180$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…38a5backed No | 28c | 1,137$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…d3f6backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd3…359abacked Yes | 23c | 973.33$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0502…7547backed Yes | 4c | 940.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 41c | 906.96$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.51 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 43c | 890$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.3 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 62c | 805.72$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abf…f495backed Yes | 1c | 770$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…0b58backed Yes | 52c | 750$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c0…a976backed No | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a9…c093backed Yes | 3c | 625$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd1…4d9ebacked Yes | 4c | 611.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ef…31a0backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…f916backed Yes | 3c | 515.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 9cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec35…cea9backed Yes | 4c | 508.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…4815backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a0…5818backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…fc4bbacked Yes | 22c | 454.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a73…8ce1backed Yes | 4c | 451$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…129abacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…28a6backed Yes | 3c | 399.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 37c | 386$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…de76backed Yes | 4c | 368$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe808…d986backed Yes | 4c | 367$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 365.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4de…34adbacked Yes | 4c | 353$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed No | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…8e82backed Yes | 3c | 340$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…6c56backed Yes | 4c | 331$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505d…7d62backed Yes | 5c | 318.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d65…0b2dbacked Yes | 5c | 317$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 50c | 270$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.2 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab46…03d1backed Yes | 5c | 264$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Yes | 7c | 263$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…e2c6backed Yes | 4c | 259$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…dae9backed Yes | 4c | 256$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7143…23c4backed Yes | 4c | 253$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…3533backed No | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…bf14backed No | 76c | 250$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad07…9ac4backed Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…05e7backed No | 34c | 218$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.88 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked No | 38c | 180$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +13.6wins | +0.32per pick | 41cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…2368backed Yes | 11c | 145.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…0625backed Yes | 28c | 140.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a0…d98bbacked Yes | 8c | 133.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked No | 49c | 128$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044b…cf61backed Yes | 70c | 105.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1706…e5ccbacked Yes | 30c | 100.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…fbecbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…0926backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x715b…3ee1backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0864…b3d0backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +22.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34bb…38c5backed Yes | 10c | 97.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…44f5backed Yes | 16c | 83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4300 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4700 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.