Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf33aca5a417be49996ae97906281d66b4e46d139ed793c0368e05c67fea7053
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 19c | 19,883$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.81 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x290e…f979backed No | 32c | 16,905$5,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,364.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…a9a6backed No | 32c | 15,659$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 69c | 7,480$5,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.88 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…784ebacked No | 13c | 6,897$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.09 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7586backed No | 38c | 4,590$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7694…2b66backed No | 22c | 4,506$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…7c1fbacked No | 19c | 4,198$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.9 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 65c | 4,166$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.74 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…05e7backed No | 8c | 4,035$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.61 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 30c | 3,369$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.45 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…3045backed No | 26c | 3,240$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73aa…cbd6backed Yes | 68c | 2,682$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbb…22f0backed Yes | 68c | 2,466$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 15c | 2,437$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.65 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…d7d4backed Yes | 70c | 2,169$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.64 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 60c | 2,082$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.3 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked No | 32c | 2,024$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…e2c0backed Yes | 80c | 2,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 70c | 1,766$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.57 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…da78backed Yes | 70c | 1,628$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.64 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 25c | 1,603$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.45 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 73c | 1,600$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.2 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82ea…60c2backed Yes | 67c | 1,549$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.3 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…a7afbacked Yes | 68c | 1,400$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba89…0fefbacked No | 25c | 1,375$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,086$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.27 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…9dafbacked No | 32c | 1,022$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.06 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.0wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…fb84backed No | 24c | 991.25$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.9 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd27b…e29bbacked No | 34c | 878.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 80c | 850.5$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.14 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed Yes | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 60c | 665$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…129abacked Yes | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 67c | 600$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 73c | 567.11$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.75 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x157c…204ebacked No | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 19c | 500.54$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…1342backed Yes | 79c | 456$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a5…1e74backed Yes | 64c | 443.61$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x192f…e4fcbacked No | 33c | 433.33$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 37c | 386$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.82 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 364$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1916…b8edbacked Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 9c | 225$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…8075backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…3533backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 70c | 167$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…b20fbacked Yes | 74c | 161.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 37c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 17c | 149.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…374ebacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 62c | 106.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fe…c992backed Yes | 78c | 102.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d5…3ba6backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…abadbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…0644backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…7adcbacked Yes | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…18debacked Yes | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d46…feefbacked Yes | 65c | 73.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Yes | 71c | 70.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34bb…38c5backed No | 16c | 67.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…1d80backed No | 23c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…cde7backed No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb764…ad75backed No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…44f5backed No | 22c | 59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…25f8backed Yes | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 69c | 44.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…6586backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe958…7da8backed Yes | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…1cecbacked Yes | 71c | 30.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92c…79a1backed Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…9b5cbacked Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…9795backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec2a…af7bbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…a9b1backed Yes | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…767ebacked Yes | 71c | 23.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e0…3a5fbacked Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3791…158fbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f9…937ebacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcde…09f5backed Yes | 61c | 19.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…e58cbacked Yes | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…9cd4backed Yes | 68c | 15.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4300 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4700 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.