Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ce02a689819b0286cb44761529ecbfeff491a08685ef0dd0a07907137bc26dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $384,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdab4…7b5abacked No | 60c | 26,288$15,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,530.16 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 33c | 24,165$7,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,921.02 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 16c | 23,346$3,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,703.8 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f2…6452backed No | 62c | 16,124$9,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,127.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 18c | 16,069$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.04 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…3d04backed Yes | 20c | 15,442$3,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 35c | 14,724$5,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,142.58 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 1c | 12,321$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.89 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 9c | 10,284$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.18 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…d91ebacked No | 79c | 10,000$7,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.63 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 45c | 9,999$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.49 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 20c | 7,955$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.84 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Yes | 1c | 7,583$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed No | 68c | 7,010$4,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…72ffbacked Yes | 17c | 6,054$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.18 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…df5fbacked Yes | 14c | 5,237$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 10c | 4,225$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…7590backed Yes | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…1eb7backed Yes | 1c | 3,111$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,761$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed No | 79c | 2,047$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.46 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…fe0fbacked No | 79c | 1,580$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed2…e8c6backed No | 64c | 1,547$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285c…3583backed No | 79c | 1,513$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.81 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ca…0138backed No | 79c | 1,500$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…bdb9backed Yes | 36c | 1,370$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.52 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…befdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,358$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.51 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 79c | 1,350$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked Yes | 22c | 1,325$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.91 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…e76dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,215$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 4c | 1,113$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…6a7cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,006$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed Yes | 3c | 999.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182a…b1febacked Yes | 51c | 984.56$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 64c | 960.42$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.39 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 7c | 950.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ea…60c2backed No | 79c | 850$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…7af8backed No | 48c | 783.49$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +264.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…dd5ebacked No | 62c | 750$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…6f16backed Yes | 36c | 723.7$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.53 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…86b9backed No | 78c | 709.49$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…c16dbacked No | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -8.8wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 49c | 609.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.55 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…09fcbacked No | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df0…2bfcbacked No | 79c | 600$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…a0a1backed No | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c98…33fbbacked Yes | 9c | 583.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 520.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 50c | 510.9$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.87 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…e1edbacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…6d6cbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…0644backed No | 79c | 500$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…879dbacked No | 78c | 479.78$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…f21abacked No | 63c | 426.22$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c88…d117backed Yes | 36c | 419$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.84 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…16e6backed No | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 59c | 305.2$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…4a62backed Yes | 36c | 295.45$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed No | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +11.1wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked Yes | 54c | 253.75$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.39 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -12.2wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…1245backed Yes | 38c | 249.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…5e50backed Yes | 7c | 202.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1916…b8edbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d92…b63dbacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…4053backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 65c | 131.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +7.9wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…8c9cbacked Yes | 8c | 131.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9682…ff2abacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9e…6823backed No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…1c7bbacked No | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…b619backed Yes | 55c | 79.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…b816backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…c5cabacked No | 64c | 78.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 68c | 61.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…9684backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -7.7wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -35%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9e…11d4backed No | 66c | 58.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…767ebacked Yes | 28c | 50.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes | 40c | 49.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8eafbacked No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b5…8e60backed Yes | 54c | 44.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…8a7ebacked No | 66c | 40.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004d…665bbacked No | 66c | 40.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d46…feefbacked No | 65c | 39.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…429cbacked No | 64c | 34.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…986ebacked No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…a79bbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ed…4c0bbacked No | 64c | 28.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…137ebacked No | 80c | 24.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…1b0ebacked No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4300 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4700 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.