Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x058f3aa832a2b9178bd964b3610ae01e98a17f85b1839d0cbcb36f1963610809
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $957,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $934,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $957,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 0c | 116,000$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…6ed6backed Yes | 55c | 66,355$36,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,636.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed No | 36c | 40,000$14,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,445.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 51c | 39,037$19,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,121.9 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 29c | 26,192$7,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,640.46 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 55c | 22,951$12,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,348.96 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…0a62backed Yes | 68c | 20,624$14,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,517.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…a9a6backed No | 25c | 20,112$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…a799backed No | 15c | 13,635$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.39 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked No | 34c | 12,886$4,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,404.17 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…38a5backed No | 79c | 12,722$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 73c | 12,010$8,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.25 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 50c | 11,348$5,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,702 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…ed32backed Yes | 48c | 10,000$4,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,231.15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 71c | 10,000$7,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,051.28 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…8996backed No | 42c | 9,548$4,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,033.66 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…3291backed No | 79c | 8,890$7,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,015.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 8c | 8,791$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.89 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 10c | 8,660$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.97 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 79c | 7,500$5,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,943.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…b18fbacked No | 12c | 7,000$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8311…79f9backed Yes | 27c | 6,767$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,957.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +87%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked No | 53c | 6,725$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,592.63 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…f652backed No | 19c | 6,526$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.17 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 25c | 6,440$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830.24 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…a4fcbacked No | 69c | 6,379$4,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,373.9 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…da78backed Yes | 58c | 5,797$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.93 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 56c | 5,729$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.66 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…d9e3backed Yes | 18c | 5,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,563.19 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 67c | 5,555$3,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.82 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a0…4469backed No | 55c | 5,056$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdb…14d8backed No | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285c…3583backed No | 28c | 4,495$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.26 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed No | 74c | 4,023$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 79c | 3,930$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.21 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…1c72backed Yes | 71c | 3,872$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 27c | 3,294$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.38 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7586backed No | 46c | 3,158$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 20c | 3,100$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.55 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed No | 65c | 3,069$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.58 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…90abbacked No | 68c | 2,928$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…50a4backed No | 66c | 2,899$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f9…55f0backed Yes | 75c | 2,883$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed Yes | 32c | 2,844$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.9 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…7457backed Yes | 62c | 2,777$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7c…867bbacked No | 66c | 2,752$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked No | 53c | 2,574$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.84 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…efc1backed Yes | 51c | 2,451$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.09 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7614…ac0abacked Yes | 75c | 2,260$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.47 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…6654backed No | 12c | 2,168$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed Yes | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4685…4de3backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed No | 27c | 1,980$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f7…baaebacked No | 71c | 1,934$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…a0a1backed No | 30c | 1,900$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.4 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 56c | 1,850$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.34 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…ec17backed Yes | 29c | 1,812$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.67 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10a…28b1backed Yes | 50c | 1,783$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.37 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Yes | 70c | 1,780$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…3533backed No | 68c | 1,750$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.62 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…b51cbacked No | 66c | 1,668$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 70c | 1,577$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…8030backed No | 62c | 1,550$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x281e…c94abacked No | 66c | 1,528$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked No | 12c | 1,523$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x172e…21d6backed Yes | 59c | 1,423$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…bcc7backed Yes | 67c | 1,400$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc497…767abacked No | 66c | 1,360$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…7568backed No | 45c | 1,308$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…2370backed Yes | 23c | 1,247$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.49 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…6fc8backed No | 79c | 1,229$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed Yes | 33c | 1,204$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.54 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…7e9dbacked No | 46c | 1,185$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 35c | 1,111$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.51 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed No | 61c | 1,100$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.1 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…7c1fbacked No | 10c | 1,008$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…c9c1backed Yes | 21c | 1,006$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.51 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 45c | 946.15$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.11 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 65c | 925.07$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.61 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked No | 48c | 805.34$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.82 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 52c | 780$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.86 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…215fbacked Yes | 45c | 761.54$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 33c | 760.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.62 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a7…ade3backed No | 66c | 757.45$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fecfbacked Yes | 34c | 750$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.58 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…b339backed Yes | 60c | 750$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 41c | 732$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.12 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9133…aa0fbacked Yes | 33c | 719.36$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.98 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 24c | 715.08$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.39 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed No | 59c | 714.25$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.62 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 42c | 696.25$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.77 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…2d16backed Yes | 23c | 675.78$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…ae55backed Yes | 74c | 675.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…5e32backed No | 75c | 667.56$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 43c | 653.25$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.75 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…7abcbacked No | 5c | 642.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 625.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…88aabacked No | 66c | 620.12$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4300 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4700 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.