Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bb0f1411eb7314656ede37b3cee77a7f4ec1d20dd364f1d8897a4e7ad9b658c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $342,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $380,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0708…a9a6backed No | 25c | 19,619$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 60c | 13,236$7,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,243.25 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 7c | 10,704$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.99 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7586backed No | 45c | 10,615$4,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,779.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 65c | 9,066$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.17 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…2143backed Yes | 57c | 8,174$4,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,491.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 8c | 6,515$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.21 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed No | 16c | 5,406$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked No | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.99 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 59c | 4,234$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…d4b9backed Yes | 62c | 4,025$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 45c | 3,958$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.61 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 14c | 3,679$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.54 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…3045backed No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x627a…cdc2backed No | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked No | 32c | 3,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 32c | 2,888$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.52 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed No | 21c | 2,879$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.72 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 39c | 2,623$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.8 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…da78backed Yes | 51c | 2,615$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.26 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…73d7backed No | 46c | 2,552$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0dd1backed No | 48c | 2,104$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…5fd4backed No | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27b…e29bbacked No | 54c | 1,866$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…fb84backed No | 50c | 1,705$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.55 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 13c | 1,637$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.95 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 32c | 1,572$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 1,510$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.03 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…87e0backed No | 51c | 1,500$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 24c | 1,447$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.92 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…d7d4backed No | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…05e7backed No | 12c | 1,189$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.78 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked No | 5c | 1,116$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed No | 37c | 1,045$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.65 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…f652backed No | 15c | 1,002$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb07f…8fd3backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…98aabacked No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…128fbacked No | 56c | 999.88$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.93 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 57c | 999.12$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7694…2b66backed Yes | 77c | 868.01$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63be…2c64backed No | 59c | 849.15$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 42cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 47c | 848.94$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.94 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 11c | 844.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…8996backed No | 54c | 842.59$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…9dafbacked No | 50c | 821$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.5 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.0wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 61c | 744.03$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.32 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…7c1fbacked No | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…a0a1backed No | 36c | 650$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 39c | 605.15$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9f…5b01backed No | 61c | 601.64$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 80c | 593.54$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…2408backed Yes | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed Yes | 47c | 480$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ef…31a0backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b19…50b7backed Yes | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 33c | 443.21$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked No | 12c | 429.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…1b5cbacked No | 66c | 426.92$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…4815backed No | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcb…324dbacked No | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…158abacked No | 43c | 390$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 5c | 367.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 49c | 360$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.2 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed Yes | 74c | 342.46$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a0…590dbacked No | 57c | 323.73$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…64bbbacked No | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…2955backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +138.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe731…134fbacked No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…42e1backed No | 15c | 299.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…b265backed Yes | 51c | 290$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…b6e5backed No | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9460…7b3cbacked Yes | 48c | 240$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…784ebacked Yes | 42c | 227.51$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.95 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…60adbacked Yes | 56c | 215.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.89 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…eed2backed Yes | 50c | 200.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.53 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…9074backed Yes | 45c | 188.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.89 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…3a5dbacked No | 18c | 187.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f6…75c7backed No | 55c | 179.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…ffa6backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa628…1943backed No | 44c | 173.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…7bffbacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf0…e09fbacked Yes | 48c | 167.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c1…4268backed No | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…7336backed Yes | 53c | 157.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed Yes | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46de…efb0backed No | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd46…58a6backed No | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdab6…8900backed Yes | 77c | 147.08$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4300 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4700 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.