Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf051870a08baced57eda3fb394cedb7ae5d884752a2c65cef3ed39e7735ae869
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $743,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $824,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $743,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 46c | 63,218$29,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,961.11 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 51c | 26,887$13,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,175.78 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 55c | 24,048$13,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,919.07 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 65c | 18,934$12,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,613.29 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…3a9bbacked No | 28c | 17,551$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…7c1fbacked No | 37c | 15,706$5,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…a9a6backed No | 30c | 13,154$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked No | 28c | 10,912$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035.82 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked No | 13c | 9,193$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09c…f710backed No | 18c | 8,138$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed No | 19c | 7,869$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…799ebacked No | 12c | 7,111$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 55c | 6,963$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.84 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…2143backed Yes | 59c | 6,763$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…da78backed Yes | 53c | 6,638$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.91 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 79c | 6,633$5,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa59e…fc8abacked No | 7c | 6,237$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 19c | 6,220$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.66 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d338backed Yes | 76c | 5,952$4,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 20c | 5,355$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,274.68 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 14c | 5,150$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.57 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 22c | 5,030$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930.11 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked No | 18c | 5,027$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.42 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…ed32backed Yes | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…775fbacked Yes | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 52c | 4,870$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.1 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd07b…1898backed Yes | 76c | 4,408$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 4,398$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.36 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…f652backed No | 28c | 4,235$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 50c | 4,000$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…8075backed Yes | 76c | 3,991$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.2 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 49c | 3,807$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.96 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…ec17backed Yes | 20c | 3,746$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,996.57 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 23c | 3,552$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.14 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 11c | 3,343$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.42 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f7…baaebacked No | 67c | 3,044$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…84ddbacked No | 51c | 3,034$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.38 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7614…ac0abacked Yes | 74c | 2,954$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.74 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…a799backed No | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.98 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3a26backed No | 36c | 2,303$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.11 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed No | 9c | 2,239$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes | 18c | 2,050$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 8cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…4eccbacked No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…fb06backed Yes | 78c | 1,999$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd0…64e9backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.85 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…8996backed No | 19c | 1,849$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.33 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed No | 19c | 1,830$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.09 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…a7afbacked Yes | 78c | 1,785$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa0…a5edbacked No | 60c | 1,733$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed No | 59c | 1,656$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe6…54acbacked No | 77c | 1,513$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked No | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…9cefbacked Yes | 78c | 1,485$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 19c | 1,474$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.35 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 27c | 1,394$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.69 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Yes | 79c | 1,383$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.49 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ec…621ebacked No | 15c | 1,343$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 78c | 1,300$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9552…6ef3backed Yes | 75c | 1,225$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841e…fa76backed Yes | 80c | 1,200$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…3d8fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,146$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…4460backed No | 22c | 1,122$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…784ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,085$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.48 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106c…474cbacked No | 35c | 1,018$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…6cfcbacked No | 21c | 1,001$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked No | 76c | 1,001$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94f0…577cbacked No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07f…8fd3backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…b593backed No | 66c | 1,000$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 17c | 999.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…1c57backed No | 15c | 999.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 80c | 941.58$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.32 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 35c | 881.77$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.88 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked Yes | 38c | 872.19$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.42 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…5796backed No | 59c | 840.38$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0579…bd13backed No | 20c | 830$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 72c | 800$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 72c | 799.99$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…795abacked Yes | 77c | 774.74$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.3 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…3533backed No | 79c | 750$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed No | 14c | 715.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b7…1efabacked Yes | 64c | 707.34$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…b824backed No | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5f…ff66backed No | 80c | 625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked No | 21c | 622.95$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.05 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 78c | 610.22$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.42 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…5fd4backed No | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed No | 13c | 583.9$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 77c | 540$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…9dafbacked No | 43c | 520.5$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.82 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.0wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…66b2backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…f53dbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4300 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4700 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.