Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5d477a635775c69ee551942b82f6d25c7bbb0819a5372f6528aa360c3b8e693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $598,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $582,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $598,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 0c | 49,997$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.07 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…9165backed Yes | 4c | 32,164$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 5c | 26,851$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.4 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 2c | 15,867$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.42 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 2c | 13,340$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.51 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 6c | 12,893$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.98 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 14c | 11,138$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.22 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 10,720$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x837b…e8bebacked Yes | 1c | 10,678$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…676dbacked Yes | 3c | 6,881$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,802$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…555fbacked Yes | 4c | 5,675$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.42 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked No | 76c | 5,466$4,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.78 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 1c | 5,237$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 24c | 5,227$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.81 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 2c | 5,155$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…b18fbacked Yes | 31c | 5,000$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abf…f495backed Yes | 2c | 4,195$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…9574backed Yes | 45c | 4,010$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…7c1fbacked No | 62c | 3,960$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.3 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked No | 51c | 3,936$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 9c | 3,267$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.01 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,170$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.19 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 78c | 3,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 15c | 3,000$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 76c | 2,399$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.72 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes | 33c | 2,395$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,007$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd3…359abacked Yes | 11c | 1,990$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…bfe3backed Yes | 11c | 1,961$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0502…7547backed Yes | 2c | 1,943$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 23c | 1,904$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.61 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes | 40c | 1,851$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…da78backed Yes | 19c | 1,828$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.75 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 57c | 1,747$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.42 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7d…4d56backed No | 51c | 1,686$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73aa…cbd6backed No | 69c | 1,640$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 73c | 1,600$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.08 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 1c | 1,579$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…8e82backed Yes | 3c | 1,537$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…a7afbacked No | 70c | 1,400$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked No | 77c | 1,266$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.15 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…d3f6backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd74f…95cdbacked Yes | 2c | 940.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…129abacked Yes | 27c | 920.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 44c | 862.66$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…ed1fbacked Yes | 47c | 851.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.08 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…d7d4backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…5615backed Yes | 3c | 799.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505d…7d62backed Yes | 2c | 707.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…104fbacked No | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.27 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d4…6575backed Yes | 10c | 596.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…2bb2backed Yes | 2c | 549$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b89…5651backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5131…2541backed Yes | 11c | 499.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked No | 59c | 420$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +13.6wins | +0.32per pick | 41cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 18c | 408.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…4815backed Yes | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd099…60edbacked Yes | 27c | 398.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21b…37edbacked Yes | 7c | 365.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e2…1346backed Yes | 4c | 293$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ea…60c2backed Yes | 32c | 286.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 70c | 270.59$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1916…b8edbacked Yes | 40c | 250.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…9217backed Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked No | 55c | 232.15$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.47 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…3ad0backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed Yes | 44c | 178.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 35c | 168.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7341…0cd0backed No | 72c | 166.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f5…ef1fbacked Yes | 7c | 148.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…5610backed No | 74c | 134.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked No | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…2be6backed Yes | 11c | 116.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…795abacked Yes | 27c | 110.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed No | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4090…57cbbacked No | 73c | 102.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…1245backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…9ce2backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…649abacked No | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…44f5backed Yes | 33c | 66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…784ebacked Yes | 25c | 59.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…6b77backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…c1a5backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b3…310ebacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a8…3c82backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…f45dbacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3f…6f3dbacked No | 62c | 31.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6def…7096backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4300 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4700 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.